Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $4.2K | 75¢ | 85¢ | +$540 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Politics | No | $470 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$152 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 33¢ | 11¢ | -$782 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $309 | 55¢ | 46¢ | -$52 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $160 | 64¢ | 92¢ | +$71 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $290 | 55¢ | 43¢ | -$65 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $83 | 67¢ | 91¢ | +$28 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $86 | 36¢ | 42¢ | +$14 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $273 | 40¢ | 14¢ | -$174 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | Yes | $107 | 7.1¢ | 3.5¢ | -$56 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics | Yes | $86 | 32¢ | 14¢ | -$50 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $67 | 30¢ | 13¢ | -$39 |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 59¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 12¢ | 6.0¢ | -$4 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Politics | Yes | $23 | 28¢ | 3.5¢ | -$20 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $419 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$419 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $155 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$155 |
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Culture | YesResolved | $16 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $142 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$142 |
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $449 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$449 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $76 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $342 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$342 |
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | YesResolved | $35 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $42 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $94 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $412 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$412 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $238 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$238 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $182 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$182 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Tech | NoResolved | $78 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Politics | YesResolved | $268 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$268 |
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $63 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $111 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$111 |
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $17 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Tech | NoResolved | $51 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $47 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $18 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Politics | YesResolved | $93 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.8K | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $865 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$865 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $68 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $444 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$444 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $274 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$274 |
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $90 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $882 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$882 |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffseSports | Team LiquidResolved | $848 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$848 |
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $23 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $262 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$262 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $115 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $41 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Tech | YesResolved | $56 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $67 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $77 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $111 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$111 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | YesResolved | $580 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$580 |
Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Mentions | NoResolved | $90 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |