Varyag

Predicting since Oct 20231,267 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $4.4K on Weather markets since Oct 2023.

Biggest hit: +$1.9K on 2025 January hottest on record?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?Weather	Yes	$101	11¢	11¢	-$1
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 26?Weather	No	$77	77¢	99¢	+$22
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?Weather	No	$11	11¢	15¢	+$4
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?Weather	Yes	$4	0.9¢	0.9¢	-$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 26?Weather	YesResolved	$9	9.1¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 26?Weather	YesResolved	$9	9.1¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 26?Weather	YesResolved	$9	9.1¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 26?Weather	YesResolved	$9	9.1¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5?Weather	YesResolved	$0	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on June 26?Weather	YesResolved	$9	9.1¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 26?Weather	YesResolved	$7	7.4¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on June 26?Weather	YesResolved	$9	9.1¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 14?Weather	YesResolved	$4	4.9¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 20?Weather	YesResolved	$9	66¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 26?Weather	YesResolved	$9	9.1¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12?Weather	YesResolved	$62	21¢	0.0¢	-$62
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20?Weather	YesResolved	$47	67¢	0.0¢	-$47

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather+$4.4K

Tech+$428

Politics+$404

Crypto+$287

Economy-$108

Other-$57

Finance+$1

Biggest hit

+$1.9K

2025 January hottest on record?

Toughest beat

-$359

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on March 20?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 26?$12513m ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 26?$12028m ago
Bought Yes · Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?$94h ago
Bought Yes · Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?$95h ago
Bought Yes · Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?$95h ago
Bought Yes · Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?$05h ago
Bought Yes · Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?$05h ago
Bought Yes · Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?$06h ago
Bought Yes · Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?$07h ago
Bought No · Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?$118h ago
Bought Yes · Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?$178h ago
Bought Yes · Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?$19h ago