← Whale Watch

axol

Predicting since Nov 202422 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.4K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5022¢0.0¢-$50
House control after 2024 election?PoliticsDemocraticResolved$53.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$4317¢0.0¢-$43
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64PoliticsYesResolved$1702.4¢0.0¢-$170
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5013¢0.0¢-$50
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104PoliticsNoResolved$19716¢0.0¢-$197
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?PoliticsNoResolved$1640¢0.0¢-$16
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HousePoliticsYesResolved$12513¢0.0¢-$125
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?TechYesResolved$27518¢0.0¢-$275
Trump wins every swing state?PoliticsNoResolved$12016¢0.0¢-$120
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?PoliticsYesResolved$2558.5¢0.0¢-$255
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?PoliticsYesResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$282.8¢0.0¢-$28
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$472.1¢0.0¢-$47
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5025¢0.0¢-$50
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?PoliticsYesResolved$4812¢0.0¢-$48
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$168.0¢0.0¢-$16
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$7834¢0.0¢-$78
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$151.5¢0.0¢-$15

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.4K
Tech-$275
Biggest hit
+$71
US government shutdown Saturday?
Toughest beat
-$1.0K
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · US government shutdown Saturday?$1004mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$136mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$116mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$36mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$86mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$26mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$36mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$16mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$16mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$16mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$16mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$16mo ago