← Whale Watch

tradervader

Predicting since Oct 2024197 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.8K on Crypto markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $9.5K across 9 Crypto markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.8K on Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?PoliticsNo$2.5K93¢93¢-$13
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2.3K91¢97¢+$155
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.5K89¢96¢+$116
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.5K97¢96¢-$7
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$100092¢97¢+$57
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?PoliticsYes$100091¢96¢+$53
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$100085¢87¢+$21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$100090¢92¢+$17
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?PoliticsNo$100096¢96¢-$7
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$90086¢95¢+$89
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$100095¢94¢-$16
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$26232¢100¢+$563
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.1K30¢20¢-$375
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$75094¢95¢+$4
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$75091¢92¢+$1
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$75093¢93¢-$4
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$75092¢91¢-$10
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?PoliticsNo$75094¢93¢-$10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$76045¢42¢-$63
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$60080¢87¢+$50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$39050¢80¢+$232
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$50081¢90¢+$58
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$50091¢99¢+$39
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$50092¢98¢+$31
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?CryptoNo$55087¢83¢-$28
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$50092¢95¢+$15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$50088¢91¢+$14
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$50096¢97¢+$6
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$50096¢96¢+$4
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?PoliticsNo$50090¢90¢+$3
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$50087¢88¢+$3
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$50089¢90¢+$3
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$50093¢93¢-$3
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$50090¢89¢-$10
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$45064¢64¢-$6
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?CryptoNo$45082¢75¢-$41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$40079¢80¢+$7
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$35094¢97¢+$12
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3813¢100¢+$255
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$50035¢20¢-$219
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?PoliticsNo$25090¢92¢+$4
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?PoliticsNo$25089¢91¢+$3
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?CryptoNo$25091¢92¢+$2
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoYes$25089¢90¢+$1
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$25073¢73¢+$0
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoYes$25096¢95¢-$2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3005.1¢2.4¢-$160
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10014¢16¢+$8
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10082¢78¢-$5
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?CryptoNo$10078¢73¢-$6
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$10022¢13¢-$43
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1002.6¢1.2¢-$55
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$252.3¢2.4¢+$1
Ethereum flipped in 2026?CryptoNoResolved$15037¢0.0¢-$150

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$3.8K
Politics+$2.1K
Premier League-$150
Tennis-$50
Soccer (other)-$20
Bundesliga+$4
Biggest hit
+$2.8K
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Toughest beat
-$1.2K
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$397d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?$1967d ago
  • Bought No · Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$5008d ago
  • Bought No · Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?$5008d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$5008d ago
  • Bought No · Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$7508d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$4008d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$10008d ago
  • Bought No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$7508d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$268d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1038d ago