 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $553 | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$18 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $314 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$2 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $151 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $141 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $129 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $109 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $105 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $79 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $79 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $66 | 80¢ | 76¢ | -$3 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $58 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $53 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $55 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Politics | No | $49 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $48 | 84¢ | 81¢ | -$1 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $34 | 56¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $26 | 61¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $20 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $15 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 31¢ | 55¢ | +$6 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 25¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $12 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 90¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | No | $9 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $9 | 27¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 9.0¢ | 5.0¢ | -$6 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 57¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | No | $4 | 71¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $3 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 70¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $2 | 46¢ | 61¢ | +$1 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 54¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 48¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 34¢ | 34¢ | +$0 |
| Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?Culture | Yes | $1 | 76¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 42¢ | 6.5¢ | -$7 |
 Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 9?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $31 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |