 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $1.1K | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$6 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $820 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$18 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $397 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $151 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$10 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $68 | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$5 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $73 | 81¢ | 49¢ | -$28 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $39 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $35 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $99 | 55¢ | 18¢ | -$67 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $21 | 50¢ | 75¢ | +$10 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $47 | 32¢ | 11¢ | -$31 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $26 | 22¢ | 13¢ | -$11 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 93¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $12 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $26 | 56¢ | 18¢ | -$18 |
 Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 36¢ | 17¢ | -$9 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 24¢ | 12¢ | -$4 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 35¢ | 17¢ | -$4 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 55¢ | 11¢ | -$12 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 30¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | Yes | $9 | 70¢ | 14¢ | -$7 |
 Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $13 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $48 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
 Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 9?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $11 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $204 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$204 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $31 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Cashed out Yes · Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?$25d ago