falvon · Whale Watch

← Whale Watch

falvon

Predicting since Dec 202422 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics	Yes	$20	17¢	5.8¢	-$13
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics	Yes	$10	14¢	5.5¢	-$6
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Politics	Yes	$10	12¢	4.3¢	-$7
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$10	2.2¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Politics	NoResolved	$7	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Politics	YesResolved	$110	26¢	0.0¢	-$110
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$10	49¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Politics	YesResolved	$6	4.5¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$3	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$10	39¢	0.0¢	-$10
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Politics	NoResolved	$20	30¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Politics	YesResolved	$1	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$2	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$203

Tech-$6

Biggest hit

+$28

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

Toughest beat

-$31

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$105mo ago
Bought Yes · China x Japan military clash before 2027?$105mo ago
Cashed out Yes · US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$485mo ago
Sold Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$75mo ago
Sold Yes · China x Japan military clash before 2027?$95mo ago
Sold Yes · Xi Jinping out before 2027?$205mo ago