← Whale Watch

falvon

Predicting since Dec 202422 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$2017¢7.0¢-$12
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?PoliticsYes$1012¢9.5¢-$2
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$1014¢7.5¢-$5
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$102.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?PoliticsNoResolved$73.8¢0.0¢-$7
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? PoliticsYesResolved$11026¢0.0¢-$110
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1049¢0.0¢-$10
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$64.5¢0.0¢-$6
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?TechYesResolved$31.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump visit China by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1039¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2030¢0.0¢-$20
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?TechYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?TechYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$195
Tech-$6
Biggest hit
+$28
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Toughest beat
-$31
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$103mo ago
  • Bought Yes · China x Japan military clash before 2027?$103mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$483mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$73mo ago
  • Sold Yes · China x Japan military clash before 2027?$93mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Xi Jinping out before 2027?$203mo ago