JoachimMarnitzMARW2026

Predicting since Jan 202633 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics	Yes	$476	48¢	51¢	+$29
Blue tsunami in 2026?Politics	Yes	$187	45¢	42¢	-$13
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$142	47¢	53¢	+$15
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$103	41¢	51¢	+$24
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$110	55¢	56¢	+$3
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$52	24¢	29¢	+$11
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$39	39¢	35¢	-$5
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics	No	$40	40¢	35¢	-$6
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$33	33¢	23¢	-$10
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics	No	$60	20¢	7.5¢	-$38
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics	No	$22	22¢	20¢	-$2
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$10	10¢	6.5¢	-$4
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$11	11¢	6.0¢	-$5
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics	Yes	$3	23¢	23¢	+$0
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics	Yes	$2	41¢	47¢	+$0

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$93

Biggest hit

+$244

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Toughest beat

-$132

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Bought Yes · Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?$01d ago
Bought Yes · Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?$11d ago
Bought Yes · Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?$21d ago
Bought Yes · Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?$21d ago
Sold No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1449d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$8811d ago
Bought Yes · Blue tsunami in 2026?$912d ago