 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 100¢ | +$16 |
 Will England win on 2026-07-05?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
 Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 28¢ | 10¢ | -$3 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.8¢ | 4.7¢ | +$0 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 xAI IPO before 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 29, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275–280 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close at $295–310 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will there be exactly one announced new U.S. armed forces strike against drug boats in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in December?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bought Yes · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?$115d ago