soisson-yan

Predicting since Jun 202615 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Tech	YesResolved	$2	42¢	100¢	+$3
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech	Yes	$1	23¢	85¢	+$3
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech	Anthropic	$3	81¢	91¢	+$0
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	YesResolved	$1	33¢	100¢	+$2
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?Tech	Anthropic + OpenAI	$1	57¢	66¢	+$0
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	9.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?Tech	MetaResolved	$1	6.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Tim Cook say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?Mentions	NoResolved	$2	27¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	35¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech	YesResolved	$1	44¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech	YesResolved	$1	33¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?Tech	YesResolved	$3	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$3

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$3

Mentions-$2

Bought No · Will Tim Cook say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?$21mo ago
Bought Meta · Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?$11mo ago
Bought Anthropic + OpenAI · Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?$11mo ago
Bought Yes · Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$21mo ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?$31mo ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$11mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$11mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$11mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$11mo ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$11mo ago
Bought Anthropic · Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$31mo ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$11mo ago