 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4.3K | 31¢ | 21¢ | -$1.4K |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $300 | 19¢ | 79¢ | +$946 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.2K | 17¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1.4K |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $212 | 23¢ | 79¢ | +$516 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $531 | 22¢ | 26¢ | +$74 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 39¢ | 14¢ | -$803 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $502 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$76 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Politics | No | $256 | 37¢ | 50¢ | +$95 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $634 | 45¢ | 24¢ | -$298 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $160 | 11¢ | 21¢ | +$143 |
 Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $205 | 53¢ | 72¢ | +$71 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $169 | 60¢ | 79¢ | +$54 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 23¢ | 3.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $172 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $179 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$18 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $136 | 23¢ | 27¢ | +$23 |
 LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 30?Crypto | Yes | $347 | 86¢ | 33¢ | -$216 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Tech | No | $1.0K | 39¢ | 4.0¢ | -$940 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Tech | No | $96 | 60¢ | 68¢ | +$13 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | Yes | $243 | 49¢ | 22¢ | -$136 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $167 | 29¢ | 12¢ | -$98 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $334 | 13¢ | 2.5¢ | -$266 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $67 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 18¢ | 26¢ | +$14 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Politics | Yes | $39 | 2.1¢ | 2.4¢ | +$4 |
 Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | No | $33 | 73¢ | 45¢ | -$13 |
 Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 1.8¢ | 3.8¢ | +$10 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $47 | 15¢ | 5.9¢ | -$29 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 4.9¢ | 5.8¢ | +$2 |
 Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.1¢ | 1.6¢ | +$2 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?Politics | Yes | $64 | 9.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$57 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $5 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 12¢ | 1.3¢ | -$36 |
| Will DeepSeek be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 0.6¢ | 1.5¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
| Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.6¢ | 1.4¢ | +$1 |
| Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.6¢ | 3.3¢ | -$0 |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$9 |
 Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 2.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$5 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?Politics | YesResolved | $407 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$407 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $593 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$593 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $47 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2.0K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $853 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$853 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.0K | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $328 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$328 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.3K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.3K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $849 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$849 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1.5K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $249 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$249 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $363 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$363 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.2K | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Politics | NoResolved | $203 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$203 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $416 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$416 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $283 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$283 |
 Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on September 4?Finance | DownResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?Politics | NoResolved | $41 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Politics | YesResolved | $101 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $104 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$104 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $22 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $13 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Next Kimi K model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
 Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $301 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$301 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
| LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 9?Crypto | YesResolved | $318 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$318 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $133 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$133 |
 Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 300B HKD?Finance | YesResolved | $14 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $41 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $7.6K | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.6K |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3.2K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.2K |
| Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $202 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$202 |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will DeepSeek be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $55 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $208 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$208 |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |