← Whale Watch

Balancedmind

Predicting since May 20269,282 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2076¢82¢+$2
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?PoliticsNo$1386¢84¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 26?WeatherNo$883¢100¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?WeatherYes$881¢100¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 26?WeatherNo$883¢100¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?WeatherNo$879¢83¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 26?WeatherYes$113¢100¢+$7
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 27?WeatherNo$783¢84¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C or higher on July 27?WeatherNo$789¢93¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 27?WeatherNo$793¢89¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 26?WeatherYes$794¢100¢+$0
Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsNo$769¢63¢-$1
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 28?WeatherNo$548¢56¢+$1
Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$658¢55¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on July 26?WeatherNo$352¢100¢+$3
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?CultureNo$472¢100¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 26?WeatherNo$479¢100¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 26?WeatherNo$487¢100¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?WeatherYes$592¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 26?WeatherYes$592¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 26?WeatherNo$478¢100¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 26?WeatherNo$483¢100¢+$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?FinanceYes$593¢98¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 27?WeatherNo$589¢90¢+$0
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureYes$483¢89¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 26?WeatherNo$486¢90¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?PoliticsNo$489¢93¢+$0
Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$589¢89¢+$0
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?CultureNo$365¢89¢+$1
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 27?WeatherNo$484¢89¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$483¢88¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$486¢86¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 28?WeatherNo$488¢88¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 28?WeatherNo$485¢88¢+$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$469¢80¢+$1
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsMLBLos Angeles Dodgers$473¢81¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 28?WeatherNo$482¢83¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 28?WeatherNo$480¢80¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 26?WeatherNo$479¢82¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?WeatherNo$367¢81¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 27?WeatherNo$483¢78¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 28?WeatherNo$475¢81¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 27?WeatherNo$481¢77¢-$0
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$362¢75¢+$1
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5MLBOver$355¢74¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 27?WeatherNo$470¢73¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 26?WeatherYes$484¢72¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?WeatherNo$367¢70¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 26?WeatherNo$395¢99¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 26?WeatherNo$482¢72¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 28?WeatherNo$473¢71¢-$0
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?PoliticsNo$591¢70¢-$1
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$471¢70¢-$0
Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$360¢69¢+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?CryptoNo$480¢69¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?WeatherNo$367¢67¢-$0
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersMLBTexas Rangers$355¢63¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 27?WeatherNo$481¢65¢-$1
Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$358¢60¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?FinanceNo$367¢54¢-$1
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$473¢55¢-$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$589¢51¢-$2
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxMLBChicago White Sox$248¢48¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?CryptoUp$353¢48¢-$0
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5MLBOver$352¢47¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 28?WeatherYes$351¢44¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 27?WeatherYes$243¢45¢+$0
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5MLBUnder$247¢43¢-$0
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?FinanceYes$243¢42¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 26?WeatherYes$435¢18¢-$2
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5MLBOver$351¢32¢-$1
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 28?WeatherYes$236¢33¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 27?WeatherYes$230¢28¢-$0
Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$129¢28¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 27?WeatherYes$230¢28¢-$0
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$233¢26¢-$0
Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?MentionsNo$125¢25¢-$0
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersMLBDetroit Tigers$128¢20¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1070¢0.0¢-$10
Solana Up or Down - July 9, 3AM ETCryptoUpResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$339¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1037¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 21?WeatherNoResolved$680¢0.0¢-$6
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?CryptoDownResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$243¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$349¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8AM ETCryptoDownResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8AM ETCryptoUpResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$351¢0.0¢-$3
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesMLBMilwaukee BrewersResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1465¢0.0¢-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$639¢0.0¢-$6
Solana Up or Down - July 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$243¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$646
eSports+$187
MLB-$117
World Cup-$90
Weather+$84
Tennis+$24
Finance-$13
Politics-$9
Mentions-$8
Cricket+$2
NBA-$1
Economy+$1
Biggest hit
+$122
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
Toughest beat
-$29
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 26?$225s ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 26?$41m ago
  • Sold Chicago White Sox · Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox$44m ago
  • Bought Chicago White Sox · Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox$44m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 28?$27m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 26?$48m ago
  • Bought Detroit Tigers · Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers$212m ago
  • Bought Texas Rangers · Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers$317m ago
  • Cashed out Down · Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 1PM ET$517m ago
  • Cashed out Down · Solana Up or Down - July 26, 1PM ET$517m ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$118m ago
  • Bought Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets$424m ago