← Whale Watch

galhammerman

Predicting since Jun 20264,000 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.1K on Crypto markets since Jun 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?EconomyYes$15375¢34¢-$83
Will G2 Esports Win LEC Summer Split 2026?eSportsYes$8848¢37¢-$20
Will Clavicular visit Germany in 2026?CultureYes$3848¢57¢+$8
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?PoliticsYes$9247¢23¢-$48
Will Gentle Mates Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSportsYes$4141¢36¢-$5
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?EconomyNo$2763¢70¢+$3
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?EconomyYes$2960¢53¢-$3
Will Gen.G Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSportsYes$7171¢25¢-$47
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?FinanceNo$2964¢53¢-$5
Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026?CultureNo$1787¢78¢-$2
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?TechNo$5779¢20¢-$43
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$2150¢34¢-$7
Will JL Find a Team Before September?eSportsYes$1052¢69¢+$3
Will Tom Perriello be the VA-05 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$4217¢5.1¢-$30
Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsNo$1784¢58¢-$5
Will Chris Hemsworth appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?CultureNo$1049¢53¢+$1
Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?eSportsYes$944¢49¢+$1
Will 250-259 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$986¢95¢+$1
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?CultureYes$1155¢47¢-$2
Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change Before September?eSportsYes$4235¢7.7¢-$33
Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by more than 20%?PoliticsYes$436¢82¢+$5
Will Sentinels make a roster change before September?eSportsYes$411¢26¢+$5
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$545¢89¢+$4
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$629¢44¢+$3
Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday?CultureYes$632¢43¢+$2
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?EconomyYes$849¢52¢+$0
Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?CultureYes$1049¢38¢-$2
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?EconomyYes$817¢16¢-$0
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?CultureNo$1154¢39¢-$3
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?EconomyYes$733¢37¢+$1
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureYes$1724¢11¢-$9
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?CryptoYes$984¢64¢-$2
Will North America Win the WSOP Main EventeSportsNo$2550¢14¢-$18
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?EconomyNo$1365¢33¢-$6
Will Clavicular visit Thailand in 2026?CultureYes$1048¢33¢-$3
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?CryptoNo$786¢83¢-$0
Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be less than $3B at market close on IPO day?TechNo$585¢99¢+$1
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?CultureNo$578¢92¢+$1
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?WeatherYes$08.0¢99¢+$5
Another Elon baby by December 31?TechNo$578¢77¢-$0
Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?OtherYes$655¢43¢-$1
Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?NBANo$737¢25¢-$2
Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$948¢24¢-$5
Will Clavicular visit South Korea in 2026?CultureYes$317¢20¢+$1
Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July?EconomyYes$5229¢2.2¢-$48
Will Fred Wellman be the MO-02 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$1627¢6.5¢-$12
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsYes$2522¢3.5¢-$21
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$1048¢19¢-$6
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?CultureNo$432¢28¢-$0
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?EconomyYes$640¢25¢-$2
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$840¢18¢-$4
Will Robert Tracinski be the VA-05 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$239.0¢1.4¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETCryptoUp$350¢69¢+$1
Will James Wood hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBYes$582¢55¢-$2
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$931¢11¢-$6
Will ISM Services PMI be at least 58.0 in July?EconomyYes$420¢16¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETCryptoUp$350¢62¢+$1
Will G2 Esports Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSportsNo$2626¢3.0¢-$23
Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July?EconomyYes$211¢14¢+$1
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?PoliticsNo$521¢12¢-$2
Will VARREL Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSportsYes$99.0¢2.3¢-$7
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?CryptoYes$422¢11¢-$2
Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$211¢12¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?PoliticsYes$2461¢5.0¢-$22
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 49.0 and 49.9 in July?EconomyYes$734¢9.8¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETCryptoDown$350¢39¢-$1
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in July?EconomyNo$442¢19¢-$2
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–$2.00 in July?EconomyYes$735¢9.0¢-$5
Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$1224¢3.5¢-$10
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$120¢44¢+$1
Will Tom Hiddleston appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?CultureYes$360¢32¢-$1
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$461¢27¢-$2
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?WeatherNo$2962¢3.5¢-$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETCryptoDown$350¢32¢-$1
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?PoliticsYes$1018¢2.9¢-$8
Will Hugh Jackman appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?CultureNo$282¢76¢-$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?FinanceYes$12024¢0.3¢-$119
Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch?CryptoYes$210¢7.5¢-$1
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsNo$277¢61¢-$0
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026?CultureYes$525¢7.0¢-$4
Will Toby Doeden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 5–10%?PoliticsYes$727¢5.5¢-$5
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?CultureYes$1050¢5.7¢-$9
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?TechYes$753¢8.0¢-$6
Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Soccer (other)Yes$119¢21¢+$0
Will ISM Services PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July?EconomyYes$733¢5.1¢-$6
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$350¢0.1¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 25?WeatherYesResolved$210¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Dive" be said 10+ times during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?eSportsNoResolved$2346¢0.0¢-$23
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Germany go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World CupYesResolved$4385¢0.0¢-$43
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?NBAYesResolved$210¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$103.4¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 29?WeatherYesResolved$321¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$2.1K
Culture-$404
Finance-$380
eSports-$300
Politics-$256
Weather+$182
Economy-$168
MLB-$89
Tech-$88
NBA-$51
World Cup-$49
Mentions-$42
Biggest hit
+$134
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 29?
Toughest beat
-$21
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?

Recent moves

  • SPLIT Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$51m ago
  • SPLIT Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$52m ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$53m ago
  • Sold Down · Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$53m ago
  • SPLIT Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$56m ago
  • SPLIT Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$57m ago
  • Sold Up · Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$59m ago
  • Sold Up · Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$09m ago
  • Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$59m ago
  • SPLIT Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$511m ago
  • SPLIT Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$512m ago
  • Sold Up · Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$513m ago