← Whale Watch

smlptm

Predicting since Jul 2026537 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $671 across 3 Finance markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?FinanceYes$34050¢44¢-$41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$24969¢83¢+$50
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$31247¢38¢-$61
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$15443¢64¢+$72
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$15270¢94¢+$52
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$11428¢50¢+$87
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$20529¢27¢-$14
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$19479¢76¢-$9
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$13260¢66¢+$12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$9316¢24¢+$40
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?NBANo$4736¢98¢+$82
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$6232¢36¢+$7
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$6086¢83¢-$2
Will There be 1-3 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?eSportsNo$3559¢96¢+$22
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?PoliticsNo$4973¢84¢+$8
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsNo$11334¢16¢-$61
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyNo$4784¢83¢-$1
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3050¢69¢+$11
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$3571¢82¢+$6
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$10836¢14¢-$68
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureYes$919¢90¢+$32
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?PoliticsNo$3057¢67¢+$5
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3478¢75¢-$1
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?FinanceYes$3449¢47¢-$1
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsNo$3156¢57¢+$1
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?TechNo$3220¢19¢-$2
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?PoliticsNo$3474¢57¢-$8
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?CultureNo$2971¢64¢-$3
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?PoliticsNo$4157¢36¢-$15
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$2155¢69¢+$5
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?PoliticsYes$1220¢41¢+$13
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?CultureNo$2872¢62¢-$4
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 24?WeatherNo$1876¢100¢+$6
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$4321¢11¢-$20
Will Booking Holdings (BKNG) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$2381¢81¢+$0
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k?CultureNo$1959¢71¢+$4
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?PoliticsYes$1759¢78¢+$5
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4085¢45¢-$19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?PoliticsNo$4328¢13¢-$23
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%?PoliticsNo$3734¢18¢-$18
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 2.75T in 2026?CryptoNo$1241¢67¢+$7
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsYes$3340¢23¢-$14
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?FinanceYes$5825¢7.5¢-$41
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?NBAYes$2018¢16¢-$3
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBANo$3023¢13¢-$13
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1418¢22¢+$3
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?PoliticsYes$1252¢64¢+$3
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$2243¢31¢-$6
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1248¢62¢+$3
Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?PoliticsYes$1634¢30¢-$2
Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$1383¢88¢+$1
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?PoliticsNo$2314¢8.6¢-$9
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?CultureYes$1415¢15¢+$0
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?PoliticsYes$3253¢23¢-$18
Will Baltimore Ravens finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?NFLYes$1523¢20¢-$3
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$1764¢48¢-$4
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsYes$1324¢22¢-$1
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?TechYes$1840¢28¢-$6
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureYes$1715¢11¢-$5
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$1123¢24¢+$0
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?TechYes$1934¢21¢-$8
Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 9.5%-10.5%?FinanceYes$2243¢22¢-$11
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$2133¢18¢-$9
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$3275¢26¢-$21
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$3656¢17¢-$25
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$1142¢40¢-$1
Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$938¢42¢+$1
Will Teladoc Health (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$1052¢43¢-$2
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?CultureYes$831¢32¢+$0
Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31?PoliticsYes$4151¢9.5¢-$33
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?PoliticsYes$916¢14¢-$1
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?PoliticsYes$943¢32¢-$2
Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$628¢30¢+$0
Will Spirit Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?eSportsNo$613¢14¢+$1
Will Cabot (CBT) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$938¢25¢-$3
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in July?FinanceYes$1016¢9.0¢-$5
Will Israel Katz win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?PoliticsYes$29.0¢23¢+$3
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.75T in 2026?CryptoYes$89.0¢6.5¢-$2
Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 8.5%-9.5%?FinanceYes$1137¢18¢-$6
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2912¢2.1¢-$24
Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5%-8.5%?FinanceYes$941¢22¢-$4
Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$628¢24¢-$1
Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?PoliticsYes$1516¢4.9¢-$10
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$1040¢19¢-$5
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?PoliticsNo$966¢33¢-$5
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?PoliticsYes$412¢14¢+$0
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$941¢17¢-$5
Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$518¢13¢-$2
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.5T in 2026?CryptoYes$517¢11¢-$2
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?FinanceYes$410¢9.0¢-$1
Will Davante Adams finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns?NFLYes$614¢6.9¢-$3
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?TechYes$2428¢3.4¢-$21
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLBYes$222¢35¢+$1
Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?PoliticsNo$1816¢1.9¢-$16
Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?PoliticsNo$1017¢3.5¢-$8
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.75 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?TechNo$513¢5.0¢-$3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsNo$27523¢0.1¢-$273
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsYes$312¢7.0¢-$1
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?PoliticsNo$1657¢5.5¢-$14
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?FinanceYes$120¢17¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$836
Weather-$793
Golf-$469
Finance-$421
NBA-$296
eSports+$276
Tech-$189
Crypto-$147
Mentions-$106
Economy+$96
Culture-$92
Other-$18
Biggest hit
+$462
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 5?
Toughest beat
-$215
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 8?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will 3DMAX Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$4333m ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Ninjas in Pyjamas Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$242h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will G2 Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$101d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will FaZe Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$961d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?$41d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 24?$961d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Vitality Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?$461d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Liquid Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?$481d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of July 20 2026?$241d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on July 22?$221d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 22?$561d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $160 Week of July 20 2026?$51d ago