← Whale Watch

third-eye

Predicting since Jan 2026638 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $131K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $461K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$58K on Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$458K99¢99¢-$12
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$64K96¢97¢+$958
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$30K99¢100¢+$186
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$12K90¢90¢-$28
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsNo$10K98¢98¢+$10
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?TechNo$7.9K99¢100¢+$50
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBANo$4.5K63¢100¢+$2.7K
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?Basketball (other)Yes$5.8K94¢97¢+$173
Iran nuclear test before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.7K94¢92¢-$100
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$3.9K95¢98¢+$116
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$3.3K99¢99¢+$15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3.5K90¢80¢-$363
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$1.3K6.6¢13¢+$1.3K
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.1K95¢97¢+$37
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.9K98¢100¢+$23
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$1.8K96¢97¢+$15
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K61¢63¢+$32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$2.0K89¢77¢-$287
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsYes$1.4K96¢100¢+$63
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$1.3K87¢100¢+$180
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?NFLNo$1.3K84¢92¢+$129
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$100085¢95¢+$116
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K99¢99¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$100092¢95¢+$35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$100098¢99¢+$14
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsNo$100097¢98¢+$8
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?CultureYes$95493¢98¢+$50
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$997100¢100¢-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$99099¢99¢-$3
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?CultureNo$98198¢98¢-$1
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?TechYes$97496¢97¢+$5
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$94094¢97¢+$34
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?PoliticsYes$81766¢66¢+$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?PoliticsNo$71497¢97¢+$5
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$65986¢86¢-$4
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?TechNo$59398¢99¢+$5
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$56496¢98¢+$12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$54196¢97¢+$6
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$50088¢94¢+$31
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$6508.7¢6.5¢-$162
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North?NFLNo$39193¢98¢+$21
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?PoliticsNo$39396¢98¢+$7
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$6286.3¢3.9¢-$243
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota LynxOther sportsMinnesota Lynx$37688¢90¢+$6
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.6K98¢14¢-$2.3K
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$21610¢15¢+$101
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?EconomyNo$21991¢94¢+$7
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$22396¢96¢+$1
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other)Yes$18538¢41¢+$12
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$22022¢20¢-$25
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$13567¢81¢+$28
Fed abolished before 2027?PoliticsNo$16098¢97¢-$1
Will Dallas Wings win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other)No$15394¢91¢-$6
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?EconomyNo$13282¢90¢+$12
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$36612¢4.5¢-$224
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$1316.5¢6.0¢-$10
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000?TechYes$10996¢98¢+$2
Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?EconomyNo$9898¢99¢+$1
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026?EconomyNo$9999¢99¢+$1
Will Morgan Stanley fail by end of 2026?EconomyNo$9898¢98¢+$0
Will the Seattle Storm make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?Basketball (other)No$9595¢95¢+$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?FinanceNo$9393¢95¢+$2
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?EconomyNo$9398¢96¢-$2
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$11011¢8.5¢-$25
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$808.0¢7.5¢-$5
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$737.3¢6.8¢-$6
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$474.7¢5.3¢+$6
Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?EconomyNo$4896¢97¢+$1
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 1.0%?EconomyNo$4998¢96¢-$1
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$414.1¢4.4¢+$3
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?NFLNo$4499¢96¢-$1
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$474.7¢4.2¢-$6
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$414.1¢4.0¢-$1
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$515.1¢4.0¢-$11
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$383.8¢3.9¢+$1
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$404.0¢3.9¢-$2
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$343.4¢3.8¢+$3
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$262.6¢3.3¢+$6
Will Puka Nacua be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?NFLNo$2596¢90¢-$2
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?EconomyNo$2295¢97¢+$1
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?TechYes$3178¢55¢-$9
Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?NFLNo$1995¢96¢+$0
Will Sam Darnold win the 2026 NFL MVP?NFLNo$1599¢98¢-$0
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?EconomyUp$1582¢78¢-$1
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$141.4¢1.1¢-$4
Will the New York Jets make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?NFLNo$1096¢83¢-$1
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$121.2¢0.9¢-$3
Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?NFLNo$996¢86¢-$1
Will Travis Kelce be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?CultureNo$796¢95¢-$0
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben SheltonTennisBen SheltonResolved$3978¢0.0¢-$39
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$25351¢0.0¢-$253
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$582¢0.0¢-$5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1.4K28¢0.0¢-$1.4K
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMACharles JohnsonResolved$60027¢0.0¢-$600
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$26727¢0.0¢-$267
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMANazim SadykhovResolved$1.0K62¢0.0¢-$1.0K
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAManuel TorresResolved$2.0K52¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will France win on 2026-07-18?World CupYesResolved$28557¢0.0¢-$285
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra AndreevaTennisMirra AndreevaResolved$22965¢0.0¢-$229
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)UFC / MMANikita KrylovResolved$75045¢0.0¢-$750

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$131K
NBA+$85K
Tech+$43K
Crypto-$38K
Tennis-$13K
NFL-$4.9K
UFC / MMA-$4.2K
NHL+$3.6K
Other sports+$2.5K
Finance-$1.4K
World Cup+$1.1K
Basketball (other)+$180
Biggest hit
+$58K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Toughest beat
-$43K
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Magomed Ankalaev · UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$10016h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$231d ago
  • Bought No · Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$02d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$12d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$12d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$292d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$12d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$02d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$222d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$02d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$282d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$02d ago