stravid

Predicting since Jun 2025102 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics	No	$150	89¢	88¢	-$3
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics	No	$70	62¢	56¢	-$7
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	No	$30	38¢	42¢	+$3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	Yes	$186	62¢	8.5¢	-$160
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics	Yes	$5	2.8¢	5.1¢	+$4
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics	Yes	$5	4.5¢	6.1¢	+$2
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics	Yes	$5	3.8¢	4.2¢	+$1
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics	Yes	$8	49¢	33¢	-$3
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics	Yes	$5	10¢	5.0¢	-$3
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics	Yes	$5	14¢	4.6¢	-$3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$196	96¢	0.0¢	-$196
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$7	11¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$30	29¢	0.0¢	-$30

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$283

Crypto+$24

Economy+$6

Biggest hit

+$188

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Toughest beat

-$348

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Sold Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$54d ago
Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$474d ago
Sold No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?$384d ago
Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$664d ago
Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$485d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$25d ago
Sold No · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$1615d ago
Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$465d ago
Bought Yes · Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$55d ago
Bought Yes · Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$55d ago
Bought Yes · Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$55d ago
Bought Yes · Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$55d ago