← Whale Watch

TheAugur

Predicting since Dec 2021516 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $18K on Politics markets since Dec 2021.

Right now: $3.5K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$5.2K on Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$3.2K81¢86¢+$178
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$2.5K63¢67¢+$153
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$1.7K63¢89¢+$677
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$1.4K43¢44¢+$17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$1.2K37¢41¢+$117
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?PoliticsNo$89883¢96¢+$132
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsYes$56814¢24¢+$387
Weed rescheduled by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.7K42¢23¢-$728
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$61146¢56¢+$126
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?PoliticsNo$52572¢85¢+$91
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsYes$52287¢93¢+$34
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$32462¢90¢+$143
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?PoliticsNo$37892¢94¢+$8
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?PoliticsYes$28272¢83¢+$42
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?PoliticsNo$24180¢88¢+$26
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$99034¢7.5¢-$772
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$16171¢86¢+$32
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$58437¢12¢-$401
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$15481¢92¢+$20
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?PoliticsNo$6868¢93¢+$24
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sportsYes$12964¢28¢-$73
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?PoliticsNo$4071¢94¢+$13
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?EconomyNo$1972¢84¢+$3
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive?PoliticsNo$570¢100¢+$2
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?EconomyNo$358¢84¢+$1
Will Trump say "G20" this week? (March 8)MentionsYesResolved$2525¢0.0¢-$25
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?CultureYesResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$2.4K75¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$22117¢0.0¢-$221
Will Tucker Carlson attend the 2026 State of the Union address?PoliticsYesResolved$1027.5¢0.0¢-$102
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$9756¢0.0¢-$97
Will three people dissent the March Fed decision?PoliticsYesResolved$6410.0¢0.0¢-$64
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$66394¢0.0¢-$663
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?PoliticsYesResolved$362¢0.0¢-$3
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?PoliticsYesResolved$3.0K61¢0.0¢-$3.0K
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2944¢0.0¢-$29
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2511¢0.0¢-$25
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$39940¢0.0¢-$399

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$18K
Tech-$16K
Mentions+$1.6K
Other+$1.3K
UFC / MMA+$1.3K
Economy+$1.3K
World Cup+$1.1K
NFL+$699
Other sports-$380
Culture+$375
Finance+$152
College Hoops-$40
Biggest hit
+$5.2K
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$18K
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$251d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$1021d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$251d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$43d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$2223d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$1393d ago
  • Bought Yes · No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$875d ago
  • Sold No · Tim Walz in jail by December 31?$67d ago
  • Sold No · Tim Walz in jail by December 31?$67d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$17d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$2.0K7d ago