themian

Predicting since May 202546 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Crypto	NoResolved	$255	41¢	0.0¢	-$255
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$5	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$5
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?Politics	YesResolved	$23	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$23
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?Politics	NoResolved	$2	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Powell say "Tariff" 6+ times during speech on October 14?Mentions	YesResolved	$78	78¢	0.0¢	-$78
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Powell say "Pardon Me" or "Sorry" during speech on October 14?Mentions	NoResolved	$48	48¢	0.0¢	-$48
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Politics	YesResolved	$4	4.6¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?Politics	YesResolved	$37	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$37
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?Politics	YesResolved	$5	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$25	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics	YesResolved	$36	10¢	0.0¢	-$36
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during speech on October 14?Mentions	NoResolved	$55	55¢	0.0¢	-$55
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,800 and $3,900 on October 31?Crypto	NoResolved	$14	18¢	0.0¢	-$14
Will @realDonaldTrump be suspended by Friday?Politics	YesResolved	$5	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Politics	YesResolved	$78	13¢	0.0¢	-$78

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$883

Crypto-$205

Mentions-$80

Tech+$15

Weather-$1

Other sports+$0

Biggest hit

+$564

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Toughest beat

-$667

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$178mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$38mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Eight wars" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$188mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Eight wars" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$78mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Eight wars" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$48mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Eight wars" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$138mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$258mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$368mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$18mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$108mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$88mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$88mo ago