outsideagency

Predicting since Jun 202624 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics	No	$13	29¢	97¢	+$29
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics	No	$15	66¢	99¢	+$8
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$11	27¢	56¢	+$12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$12	38¢	66¢	+$9
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics	No	$14	71¢	100¢	+$6
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics	No	$13	72¢	89¢	+$3
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$12	69¢	85¢	+$3
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$11	60¢	75¢	+$3
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy	No	$14	75¢	74¢	-$0
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy	No	$12	64¢	31¢	-$6
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$22	70¢	0.0¢	-$22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$21	36¢	0.0¢	-$21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Politics	NoResolved	$18	31¢	0.0¢	-$18
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$19	33¢	0.0¢	-$19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$24	71¢	0.0¢	-$24
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$25	70¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$15	41¢	0.0¢	-$15

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$32

Economy-$4

Biggest hit

+$11

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$0

Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$2720d ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$2723d ago
Bought No · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?$1125d ago
Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$1225d ago
Bought No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$1325d ago
Cashed out No · Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$2327d ago
Cashed out No · Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$2227d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1128d ago
Bought No · Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$121mo ago
Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$131mo ago
Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$131mo ago
Bought No · Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$141mo ago