← Whale Watch

rspa

Predicting since Feb 2025329 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $14K on Politics markets since Feb 2025.

Right now: $16K riding on Fed Decision in July?.

Biggest hit: +$3.1K on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$16K80¢82¢+$396
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1.0K55¢59¢+$64
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.9% and 1.1%?EconomyNo$32872¢86¢+$63
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?EconomyYes$49425¢16¢-$174
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$3612.2¢1.8¢-$76
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?EconomyYes$29683¢80¢-$13
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?EconomyYes$22746¢48¢+$11
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?EconomyNo$18787¢84¢-$8
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$3312.5¢0.8¢-$234
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$3673.2¢0.7¢-$293
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?EconomyNo$8862¢52¢-$15
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?PoliticsYes$6572¢72¢-$1
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?PoliticsYes$503.3¢2.6¢-$10
GTA VI released before November 2026?CultureYes$19020¢3.0¢-$161
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?PoliticsYes$3331¢26¢-$5
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?EconomyNo$1446¢21¢-$8
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$110.5¢0.1¢-$8
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$45253¢0.0¢-$452
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?World CupNoResolved$20049¢0.0¢-$200
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$40058¢0.0¢-$400
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?EconomyYesResolved$3051¢0.0¢-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$20050¢0.0¢-$200
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$6410¢0.0¢-$64
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$20038¢0.0¢-$200
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$1290.3¢0.0¢-$129
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$155.5¢0.0¢-$15
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicTennisNovak DjokovicResolved$18962¢0.0¢-$189
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in May?EconomyYesResolved$41.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the June meeting?EconomyYesResolved$20365¢0.0¢-$203
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$760.7¢0.0¢-$76
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in May?EconomyYesResolved$73.7¢0.0¢-$7
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?World CupYesResolved$7666¢0.0¢-$76
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?EconomyYesResolved$2818¢0.0¢-$28
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K14¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$61.6¢0.0¢-$6
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will England win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$10039¢0.0¢-$100
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?EconomyYesResolved$848.3¢0.0¢-$84
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$14K
World Cup-$857
Economy+$508
Tennis-$187
Culture-$171
Soccer (other)-$114
Mentions-$86
Crypto-$28
Boxing-$25
Finance-$11
Champions League+$5
Formula 1-$2
Biggest hit
+$3.1K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$968
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$6.0K4d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$164d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.0K4d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$1.0K4d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7.2K4d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?$578d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$5478d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?$1339d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?$2279d ago
  • Sold No · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.4K10d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$1610d ago