 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$9 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $340 | 43¢ | 88¢ | +$363 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $600 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$3 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $500 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$9 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $450 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$45 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Politics | No | $461 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$7 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | No | $420 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$35 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $380 | 86¢ | 97¢ | +$47 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $227 | 52¢ | 75¢ | +$100 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $300 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$14 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $285 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$15 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $225 | 74¢ | 87¢ | +$39 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $385 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$130 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $301 | 34¢ | 28¢ | -$48 |
 Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?Politics | No | $232 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$16 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $191 | 58¢ | 73¢ | +$51 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $240 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $200 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Politics | No | $200 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $132 | 71¢ | 94¢ | +$42 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech | Yes | $200 | 73¢ | 63¢ | -$29 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | No | $142 | 73¢ | 80¢ | +$13 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | No | $150 | 77¢ | 76¢ | -$2 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $120 | 74¢ | 91¢ | +$26 |
 John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?Politics | No | $100 | 77¢ | 90¢ | +$17 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $108 | 7.3¢ | 6.5¢ | -$12 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $122 | 49¢ | 38¢ | -$29 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $75 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | Yes | $100 | 42¢ | 31¢ | -$26 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $91 | 19¢ | 15¢ | -$21 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $60 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$8 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $45 | 48¢ | 45¢ | -$3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $35 | 17¢ | 16¢ | -$3 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $30 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $50 | 47¢ | 30¢ | -$19 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $15 | 47¢ | 85¢ | +$12 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 18¢ | 79¢ | +$21 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Tech | Yes | $40 | 64¢ | 40¢ | -$15 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 50¢ | 63¢ | +$5 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 75¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $25 | 51¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | Yes | $12 | 34¢ | 56¢ | +$8 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 58¢ | 69¢ | +$3 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $16 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics | Yes | $25 | 14¢ | 9.0¢ | -$9 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $16 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $12 | 66¢ | 85¢ | +$3 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 11?Crypto | No | $10 | 47¢ | 72¢ | +$5 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 4.6¢ | 4.5¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 12?Crypto | No | $10 | 49¢ | 67¢ | +$4 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 13?Crypto | No | $10 | 49¢ | 65¢ | +$3 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $18 | 28¢ | 21¢ | -$5 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 10?Crypto | NoResolved | $5 | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Economy | No | $10 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 30¢ | 38¢ | +$2 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $11 | 73¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Tech | Yes | $15 | 41¢ | 27¢ | -$5 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 7.9¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Politics | No | $7 | 9.2¢ | 9.4¢ | +$0 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 17¢ | 5.5¢ | -$14 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | No | $5 | 37¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $10 | 37¢ | 21¢ | -$4 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | No | $15 | 11¢ | 3.5¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 71¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 10¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $6 | 15¢ | 6.5¢ | -$3 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2 | 8.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$0 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 13?Crypto | No | $2 | 21¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 12?Crypto | No | $2 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 11?Crypto | No | $2 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.9¢ | +$1 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?Crypto | No | $1 | 13¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.2¢ | 2.3¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 10?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 10?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |