 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $500 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$62 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $400 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$28 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $350 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$23 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $300 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$4 |
 Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $300 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $179 | 26¢ | 37¢ | +$70 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $200 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$31 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $200 | 63¢ | 69¢ | +$21 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $160 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$52 |
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $200 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $300 | 88¢ | 51¢ | -$126 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $125 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$16 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $146 | 36¢ | 34¢ | -$12 |
| Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?Tech | No | $100 | 69¢ | 84¢ | +$22 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | No | $100 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$11 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | No | $100 | 76¢ | 70¢ | -$8 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $80 | 60¢ | 68¢ | +$10 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 85¢ | 77¢ | -$10 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | Yes | $40 | 14¢ | 26¢ | +$34 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $130 | 80¢ | 44¢ | -$60 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | No | $105 | 57¢ | 38¢ | -$36 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?Crypto | No | $60 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 24¢ | 20¢ | -$10 |
 Will Solana reach $100 in July?Crypto | No | $50 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 89¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $50 | 45¢ | 43¢ | -$2 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 58¢ | 55¢ | -$3 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Politics | Yes | $40 | 16¢ | 18¢ | +$5 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $35 | 16¢ | 21¢ | +$10 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | No | $35 | 64¢ | 79¢ | +$8 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Crypto | No | $20 | 34¢ | 69¢ | +$21 |
 Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Politics | Yes | $40 | 51¢ | 52¢ | +$0 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $40 | 48¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?Crypto | No | $30 | 72¢ | 94¢ | +$9 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 17¢ | 21¢ | +$6 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $50 | 67¢ | 47¢ | -$15 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $30 | 77¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $40 | 19¢ | 16¢ | -$7 |
| Will Solana reach $90 in July?Crypto | No | $30 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 8.3¢ | 8.5¢ | +$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $15 | 52¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
| Will Solana reach $80 in July?Crypto | No | $20 | 56¢ | 78¢ | +$8 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 79¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | Yes | $26 | 5.6¢ | 5.0¢ | -$3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 71¢ | 55¢ | -$7 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 55¢ | 38¢ | -$10 |
 Will Respublica win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Politics | No | $20 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | No | $30 | 48¢ | 27¢ | -$13 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $17 | 29¢ | 24¢ | -$3 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?Politics | No | $12 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | No | $20 | 50¢ | 31¢ | -$8 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | No | $20 | 64¢ | 37¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $15 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $10 | 57¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | Yes | $10 | 16¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Politics | Yes | $10 | 19¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 12¢ | 6.5¢ | -$7 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Economy | No | $10 | 92¢ | 70¢ | -$2 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.5¢ | 5.9¢ | +$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $5 | 42¢ | 36¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 74¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 71¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 57¢ | 3.5¢ | -$56 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 70¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $6 | 15¢ | 6.5¢ | -$3 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 28¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 34¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?Politics | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $1 | 64¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | Yes | $2 | 24¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
| Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?Tech | No | $3 | 44¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $1 | 41¢ | 42¢ | +$0 |