PhilIvey9

Predicting since Feb 202691 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.4K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $4.1K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.3K on Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics	Yes	$2.8K	88¢	93¢	+$159
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$2.7K	79¢	80¢	+$7
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics	Yes	$763	61¢	64¢	+$31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics	Yes	$502	76¢	79¢	+$17
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance	Yes	$273	74¢	62¢	-$46
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech	Yes	$94	18¢	23¢	+$27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$58	0.6¢	0.7¢	+$3
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$17	29¢	41¢	+$7
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$19	44¢	16¢	-$12
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics	Yes	$2	16¢	7.5¢	-$1
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$87	41¢	0.0¢	-$87
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$318	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$318
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Politics	YesResolved	$5	15¢	0.0¢	-$5
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$696	32¢	0.0¢	-$696
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics	YesResolved	$2.8K	14¢	0.0¢	-$2.8K
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$11	14¢	0.0¢	-$11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics	YesResolved	$417	12¢	0.0¢	-$417
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?World Cup	NoResolved	$84	33¢	0.0¢	-$84
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$171	17¢	0.0¢	-$171
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics	YesResolved	$453	19¢	0.0¢	-$453
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$157	12¢	0.0¢	-$157

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.4K

Crypto+$2.0K

Economy+$95

Finance-$81

Tech+$75

World Cup+$46

Mentions+$5

Biggest hit

+$3.3K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Toughest beat

-$1.8K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$585h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$6722h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$723h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$523h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1023h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$14323h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$151d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$521d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1791d ago
Sold No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$4552d ago
Sold No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$1832d ago
Sold No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$922d ago