 Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $147 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Trump meets with Putin by September 30?Politics | No | $149 | 94¢ | 91¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $150 | 30¢ | 24¢ | -$30 |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | No | $150 | 81¢ | 64¢ | -$31 |
 Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $134 | 64¢ | 56¢ | -$17 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Tech | No | $126 | 91¢ | 84¢ | -$10 |
| Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $115 | 87¢ | 83¢ | -$5 |
 Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?Other | No | $117 | 94¢ | 76¢ | -$23 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $95 | 63¢ | 62¢ | -$2 |
 Will LOUD Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2eSports | No | $136 | 89¢ | 60¢ | -$44 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $87 | 47¢ | 45¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | No | $80 | 89¢ | 78¢ | -$10 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | No | $74 | 64¢ | 60¢ | -$5 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | No | $90 | 23¢ | 17¢ | -$24 |
 Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Politics | Yes | $73 | 70¢ | 64¢ | -$7 |
 Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Politics | No | $77 | 44¢ | 37¢ | -$12 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 38%-40%?Finance | Yes | $88 | 40¢ | 30¢ | -$23 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $84 | 87¢ | 66¢ | -$20 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $63 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$2 |
 Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $62 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$2 |
 Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?Culture | No | $69 | 79¢ | 69¢ | -$9 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $68 | 73¢ | 61¢ | -$11 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $62 | 90¢ | 78¢ | -$9 |
 Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Economy | No | $85 | 58¢ | 37¢ | -$31 |
| Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $66 | 44¢ | 36¢ | -$13 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $109 | 23¢ | 11¢ | -$57 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $64 | 14¢ | 10¢ | -$16 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | No | $49 | 47¢ | 46¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $52 | 87¢ | 79¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$15 |
 Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Culture | Yes | $55 | 50¢ | 41¢ | -$10 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $47 | 64¢ | 62¢ | -$2 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $50 | 48¢ | 43¢ | -$6 |
 Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? eSports | No | $46 | 84¢ | 79¢ | -$3 |
| Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?Politics | No | $48 | 63¢ | 57¢ | -$5 |
 Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $42 | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Politics | No | $43 | 71¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Will Cigna Group (CI) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $46 | 90¢ | 80¢ | -$5 |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | No | $77 | 35¢ | 19¢ | -$36 |
| Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $52 | 44¢ | 34¢ | -$12 |
 Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Politics | No | $51 | 8.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$16 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | No | $43 | 67¢ | 49¢ | -$12 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $30 | 39¢ | 37¢ | -$2 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 68¢ | 62¢ | -$3 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $30 | 75¢ | 71¢ | -$2 |
 Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $28 | 52¢ | 50¢ | -$1 |
 Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $34 | 28¢ | 22¢ | -$8 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $26 | 66¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Culture | No | $27 | 59¢ | 55¢ | -$2 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?Politics | Yes | $42 | 12¢ | 6.9¢ | -$18 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech | No | $24 | 77¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump post "Pope" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | No | $30 | 82¢ | 61¢ | -$8 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $32 | 61¢ | 41¢ | -$11 |
 Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?Politics | Yes | $54 | 32¢ | 13¢ | -$33 |
 Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $22 | 44¢ | 41¢ | -$2 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?Culture | No | $44 | 59¢ | 26¢ | -$24 |
 Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?MLB | No | $23 | 28¢ | 23¢ | -$4 |
| Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Politics | No | $32 | 63¢ | 38¢ | -$13 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 54¢ | 49¢ | -$2 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $25 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$7 |
 Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $21 | 74¢ | 66¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 89¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
 Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 82¢ | 51¢ | -$11 |
 Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $21 | 76¢ | 61¢ | -$4 |
 First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
| Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $32 | 13¢ | 6.6¢ | -$16 |
 FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 14¢ | 5.5¢ | -$24 |
 Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $16 | 38¢ | 38¢ | -$0 |
| Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?Politics | No | $16 | 77¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
 Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 81¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
 Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Politics | No | $17 | 61¢ | 52¢ | -$3 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $22 | 12¢ | 7.5¢ | -$8 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech | No | $39 | 66¢ | 23¢ | -$26 |
| Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $51 | 25¢ | 6.5¢ | -$38 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech | No | $15 | 39¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $16 | 65¢ | 54¢ | -$3 |
 Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $15 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 8.5¢ | 7.2¢ | -$2 |
 Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $13 | 50¢ | 42¢ | -$2 |
 Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?Culture | No | $19 | 9.0¢ | 4.8¢ | -$9 |
 Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed?Other | No | $12 | 62¢ | 51¢ | -$2 |
| Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 22%-24%?Finance | Yes | $13 | 47¢ | 36¢ | -$3 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Politics | No | $13 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 37¢ | 23¢ | -$6 |
| Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $9 | 44¢ | 39¢ | -$1 |
 Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $20 | 26¢ | 11¢ | -$12 |
| Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?Mentions | No | $14 | 46¢ | 27¢ | -$6 |
| Will Baltimore Ravens finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?NFL | Yes | $9 | 23¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $9 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?Tech | No | $8 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Will Artyom Zdunov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?Politics | No | $27 | 8.0¢ | 2.1¢ | -$20 |
 Will FULL SENSE Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?eSports | Yes | $32 | 19¢ | 4.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Politics | No | $7 | 67¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $18B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $16 | 31¢ | 14¢ | -$9 |
 Will MarketAxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $10 | 42¢ | 27¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Politics | Yes | $7 | 68¢ | 61¢ | -$1 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 1?Politics | No | $16 | 51¢ | 19¢ | -$10 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Broncos win the season series against the Chiefs during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $11 | 37¢ | 19¢ | -$6 |
 Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Culture | No | $8 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
Sold Yes · Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$4632m ago
Sold No · Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?$545m ago
Sold Yes · Will CoStar (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?$1752m ago