variant1.meta

Predicting since Feb 2026497 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.3K on Tech markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $1.1K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.5K on Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Politics	No	$867	72¢	74¢	+$20
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech	No	$752	74¢	87¢	+$122
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Economy	Yes	$671	74¢	89¢	+$138
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics	No	$921	57¢	50¢	-$117
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	No	$447	47¢	78¢	+$288
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics	No	$622	83¢	90¢	+$53
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather	No	$544	86¢	87¢	+$1
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics	No	$532	81¢	82¢	+$6
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$309	30¢	39¢	+$97
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Tech	No	$387	78¢	78¢	-$2
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Politics	No	$340	81¢	90¢	+$37
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$324	79¢	80¢	+$3
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Economy	No	$427	36¢	26¢	-$115
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Politics	Yes	$312	48¢	45¢	-$19
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics	No	$300	74¢	67¢	-$28
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$280	8.7¢	7.5¢	-$40
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Politics	No	$192	46¢	56¢	+$45
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Tech	No	$245	49¢	47¢	-$10
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$190	76¢	86¢	+$26
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy	No	$250	39¢	32¢	-$45
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Politics	No	$171	39¢	38¢	-$4
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance	Yes	$172	4.2¢	3.7¢	-$21
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics	Yes	$23	13¢	6.5¢	-$12
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Politics	No	$200	26¢	0.3¢	-$198
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Politics	NoResolved	$545	35¢	0.0¢	-$545
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$97	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$97

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$3.3K

Politics+$3.3K

Culture-$279

Crypto-$186

World Cup+$129

Weather+$56

Mentions+$41

Finance-$21

Economy-$15

Biggest hit

+$1.5K

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$825

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Recent moves

Sold No · U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?$21h ago
Sold No · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?$2014h ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$464h ago
Bought No · Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?$794h ago
Bought No · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?$1985h ago
Sold Yes · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?$7505h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$295h ago
Bought Yes · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?$625h ago
Sold No · Cuban regime falls in 2026?$53517h ago
Bought No · Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?$25822h ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$023h ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$6223h ago