variant1.meta

Predicting since Feb 2026505 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.5K on Tech markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $921 riding on Netanyahu out by...?.

Biggest hit: +$1.5K on Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech	No	$752	74¢	87¢	+$122
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics	No	$921	57¢	53¢	-$69
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Economy	Yes	$660	74¢	89¢	+$134
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	No	$447	47¢	80¢	+$307
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics	No	$622	83¢	88¢	+$38
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Tech	No	$614	78¢	78¢	-$4
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather	No	$544	86¢	88¢	+$7
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics	No	$532	81¢	83¢	+$16
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$309	30¢	38¢	+$82
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Politics	No	$340	81¢	90¢	+$39
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics	No	$304	22¢	27¢	+$62
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Politics	Yes	$312	48¢	54¢	+$36
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$324	79¢	81¢	+$7
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy	No	$239	39¢	46¢	+$40
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics	No	$300	74¢	69¢	-$22
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$139	45¢	90¢	+$138
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Politics	Yes	$249	30¢	33¢	+$21
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Politics	No	$192	46¢	60¢	+$57
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$280	8.7¢	7.5¢	-$40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Tech	No	$245	49¢	48¢	-$7
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Politics	No	$228	70¢	73¢	+$8
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics	No	$229	42¢	40¢	-$10
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$156	12¢	14¢	+$26
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Economy	No	$427	36¢	14¢	-$259
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance	Yes	$172	4.2¢	3.6¢	-$23
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$163	33¢	29¢	-$18
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Politics	No	$171	39¢	33¢	-$28
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics	Yes	$131	61¢	46¢	-$33
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$59	13¢	9.5¢	-$16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics	Yes	$23	13¢	7.5¢	-$10
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Politics	NoResolved	$545	35¢	0.0¢	-$545
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Politics	NoResolved	$200	26¢	0.0¢	-$200
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$97	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$97

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$3.5K

Politics+$3.4K

Culture-$279

Crypto-$186

World Cup+$129

Economy-$80

Weather+$63

Mentions+$41

Finance-$23

Biggest hit

+$1.5K

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$825

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Trump renames AI by September 30?$3755h ago
Sold No · Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?$37h ago
Bought Yes · Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$10110h ago
Sold No · Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?$513h ago
Sold No · Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?$113h ago
Sold No · Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?$113h ago
Sold No · Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?$213h ago
Sold No · Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?$113h ago
Sold No · Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?$113h ago
Sold No · US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?$41517h ago
Bought No · Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?$1219h ago
Bought No · Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?$1922h ago