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Mikelious

Predicting since May 202661 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$20625¢25¢-$4
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?TechYes$6430¢31¢+$2
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsYes$5230¢19¢-$20
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$354.2¢1.9¢-$19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$2520¢8.5¢-$14
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$200.5¢0.1¢-$18
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 29, 2026?TechYesResolved$151.5¢0.0¢-$15
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupPortugalResolved$2633¢0.0¢-$26
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld CupNorwayResolved$2635¢0.0¢-$26
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$255.7¢0.0¢-$25
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?PoliticsYesResolved$51.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?TechNoResolved$50.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?TechYesResolved$94.3¢0.0¢-$9
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$260.9¢0.0¢-$26
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$59.8¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$428
Tech-$96
World Cup-$34
Culture-$5
Finance-$2
Biggest hit
+$618
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Toughest beat
-$414
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$2061h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 24?$121d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 24?$151d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?$121d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?$71d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?$41d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?$151d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$52d ago
  • Sold No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$242d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$152d ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$1112d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$622d ago