ToTheWindow

Predicting since Jan 2026264 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $28K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $1.8K across 5 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$11K on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics	No	$616	77¢	87¢	+$76
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics	No	$250	52¢	53¢	+$3
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?Politics	No	$147	70¢	81¢	+$21
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics	No	$100	50¢	63¢	+$25
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$50	7.8¢	11¢	+$19
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$50	6.7¢	7.1¢	+$3
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?Politics	No	$24	84¢	95¢	+$3
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?Politics	Yes	$25	12¢	13¢	+$2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$60	1.7¢	0.8¢	-$33
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?Politics	Yes	$74	22¢	7.5¢	-$49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$9	0.7¢	0.7¢	-$1
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$137	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$137
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Politics	YesResolved	$712	5.8¢	0.0¢	-$712
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Politics	YesResolved	$144	13¢	0.0¢	-$144
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?Politics	YesResolved	$57	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$57
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?Politics	YesResolved	$721	13¢	0.0¢	-$721
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Politics	YesResolved	$31	5.4¢	0.0¢	-$31
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$25	2.1¢	0.0¢	-$25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?Politics	YesResolved	$14	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$14
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime GoalscorerChampions League	YesResolved	$25	30¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Politics	NoResolved	$109	21¢	0.0¢	-$109
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Politics	YesResolved	$98	8.5¢	0.0¢	-$98
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 19?Politics	YesResolved	$50	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$50
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Politics	YesResolved	$160	7.6¢	0.0¢	-$160
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$20	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$180	5.1¢	0.0¢	-$180
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$250	50¢	0.0¢	-$250
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?Champions League	YesResolved	$55	8.7¢	0.0¢	-$55
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$25	2.3¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?World Cup	YesResolved	$250	84¢	0.0¢	-$250
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$25	5.3¢	0.0¢	-$25
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$5	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$5
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$179	16¢	0.0¢	-$179
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$50	5.2¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?World Cup	NoResolved	$283	10¢	0.0¢	-$283
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$225	51¢	0.0¢	-$225
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$776	13¢	0.0¢	-$776

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$28K

World Cup-$657

Champions League-$31

Biggest hit

+$11K

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Toughest beat

-$1.5K

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?$06h ago
Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?$06h ago
Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?$06h ago
Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$2507h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?$07h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?$07h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?$07h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?$07h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?$07h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?$17h ago
Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?$257h ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?$09h ago