syntheticprobabilitycapital

Predicting since Jul 202666 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics	Yes	$20	16¢	13¢	-$4
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 25?Weather	YesResolved	$1	12¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during his rally with Darline Graham?Mentions	NoResolved	$10	14¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Paul Renner finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics	YesResolved	$3	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	44¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 26?Weather	YesResolved	$5	13¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics	YesResolved	$30	30¢	0.0¢	-$30
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 WinnereSports	BESTIAResolved	$3	19¢	0.0¢	-$3
Games Total: O/U 2.5eSports	OverResolved	$7	49¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 26?Weather	YesResolved	$1	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 26?Weather	YesResolved	$1	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 26?Weather	YesResolved	$5	13¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 25?Weather	YesResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
The Memphis Classic: Zeynep Sonmez vs Elvina KalievaTennis	Zeynep SonmezResolved	$16	72¢	0.0¢	-$16
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics	NoResolved	$74	29¢	0.0¢	-$74
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnereSports	FnaticResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 25?Weather	YesResolved	$1	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics	YesResolved	$7	6.5¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on August 25?Weather	YesResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will "Earthquake" or "Quake" be in the headlines this week?Mentions	YesResolved	$20	53¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Crypto	YesResolved	$10	50¢	0.0¢	-$10
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnereSports	HOTUResolved	$5	39¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on August 25?Weather	YesResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will James Fishback win 20–25% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics	YesResolved	$9	6.1¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 26?Weather	YesResolved	$5	6.5¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 25?Weather	YesResolved	$1	7.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Set 2 Winner: Joint vs SamsonovaTennis	SamsonovaResolved	$6	46¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on August 25?Weather	YesResolved	$1	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic - Map 2 WinnereSports	FnaticResolved	$4	39¢	0.0¢	-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$129

Mentions-$30

Weather+$11

Tennis+$9

Crypto-$8

eSports+$6

Soccer (other)-$0

Biggest hit

+$60

Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?

Toughest beat

-$33

Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$3317d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?$1420d ago
Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 26?$1622d ago
Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 26?$2422d ago
Sold Yes · Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$1922d ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 26?$523d ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 26?$523d ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 26?$523d ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 26?$523d ago
Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 26?$023d ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 26?$523d ago
Sold Yes · Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 20–25%?$4023d ago