vermeshel

Predicting since Jul 202454 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.1K on Crypto markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $1.0K across 3 Crypto markets.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics	No	$870	87¢	97¢	+$96
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Tech	YesResolved	$48	16¢	100¢	+$252
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?Politics	NoResolved	$186	93¢	100¢	+$14
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?Crypto	NoResolved	$199	100¢	100¢	+$1
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	YesResolved	$34	28¢	100¢	+$89
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	YesResolved	$35	31¢	100¢	+$79
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Tech	YesResolved	$39	38¢	100¢	+$64
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$49	94¢	100¢	+$3
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Tech	Yes	$3	33¢	73¢	+$4
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	YesResolved	$0	14¢	100¢	+$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Crypto	YesResolved	$2	24¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$10	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$20	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 22?Crypto	YesResolved	$7	1.7¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech	YesResolved	$8	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?Tech	YesResolved	$4	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$9	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$70	13¢	0.0¢	-$70
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?Crypto	YesResolved	$1.0K	20¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$2	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$2	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$9	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$3	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?Crypto	YesResolved	$6	6.4¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$2	6.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?Crypto	YesResolved	$7	4.3¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$2	9.5¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech	YesResolved	$20	20¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Tech	YesResolved	$0	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$8	42¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 22?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$11	5.3¢	0.0¢	-$11
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?Tech	YesResolved	$31	9.1¢	0.0¢	-$31
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?Tech	YesResolved	$31	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$31
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech	YesResolved	$2	17¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$1.1K

Tech+$232

Politics+$114

Biggest hit

+$122

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?

Toughest beat

-$87

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 10?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$205mo ago
Bought Yes · Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$485mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$25mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$05mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$55mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$35mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$35mo ago
Bought Yes · Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?$55mo ago
Bought Yes · Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$25mo ago
Bought No · Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?$865mo ago
Bought No · Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?$45mo ago
Bought Yes · Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$06mo ago