← Whale Watch

Festka

Predicting since Nov 2025599 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $43K on NBA markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $38K across 2 Tennis markets.

Biggest hit: +$36K on Spurs vs. Thunder.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?CryptoNo$3.5K91¢95¢+$154
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.8K86¢94¢+$159
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$22462¢29¢-$119
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$3359¢27¢-$18
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?TechYes$1176¢89¢+$2
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$1154¢60¢+$1
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$771¢99¢+$3
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$772¢97¢+$3
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?PoliticsNo$880¢89¢+$1
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$880¢87¢+$1
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$18.0¢71¢+$6
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$110.0¢69¢+$6
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$582¢95¢+$1
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsNo$593¢98¢+$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$479¢96¢+$1
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$435¢48¢+$1
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$233¢95¢+$3
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$366¢94¢+$1
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$474¢92¢+$1
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$361¢91¢+$1
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$472¢88¢+$1
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$240¢88¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$481¢86¢+$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$09.0¢85¢+$4
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoYes$1446¢12¢-$10
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsNo$351¢69¢+$1
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechYes$242¢68¢+$1
Discord IPO before 2027?TechNo$05.2¢65¢+$3
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?TechYes$771¢28¢-$4
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$316¢14¢-$1
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsYes$246¢53¢+$0
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?TechYes$223¢25¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$216¢14¢-$0
Discord IPO before 2027?TechYes$485¢35¢-$2
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$485¢32¢-$3
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$662¢13¢-$5
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$361¢24¢-$2
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherYes$19.7¢7.6¢-$0
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?PoliticsYes$114¢11¢-$0
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoYes$122¢22¢+$0
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander ZverevTennisZverevResolved$2.6K52¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 November 24-30?CryptoYesResolved$38828¢0.0¢-$388
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of January?FinanceYesResolved$9152¢0.0¢-$91
Will Solana reach $190 in November?CryptoYesResolved$7203.6¢0.0¢-$720
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?CultureNoResolved$1.3K43¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$1943.9¢0.0¢-$194
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?CryptoYesResolved$7.4K12¢0.0¢-$7.4K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?Premier LeagueYesResolved$14029¢0.0¢-$140
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on November 22?CryptoYesResolved$76843¢0.0¢-$768
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump meet with Satya Nadella in January 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$010.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?BoxingNoResolved$310.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$657¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 17?CryptoUpResolved$19237¢0.0¢-$192
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 23?CryptoYesResolved$1.2K34¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Canadiens vs. CapitalsNHLCanadiensResolved$4645¢0.0¢-$46
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$1.9K9.6¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Nuggets vs. CelticsNBACelticsResolved$1.6K75¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?Premier LeagueYesResolved$33180¢0.0¢-$331
Epstein client list released by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$010.0¢0.0¢-$0
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?CryptoETHResolved$7234¢0.0¢-$72
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersOther sportsTexas Tech Red RaidersResolved$22151¢0.0¢-$221
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?TechYesResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?PoliticsYesResolved$249¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 November 17-23?CryptoYesResolved$13.5¢0.0¢-$1
US strike on Mexico by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$3.3K4.5¢0.0¢-$3.3K
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$36017¢0.0¢-$360
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 22?CryptoYesResolved$2.8K27¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?Champions LeagueYesResolved$1710.0¢0.0¢-$17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$08.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Champions LeagueNoResolved$18185¢0.0¢-$181
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$98.8¢0.0¢-$9
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$62035¢0.0¢-$620
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$199.0¢0.0¢-$19
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue DevilsCollege HoopsSt. Johns Red StormResolved$34K34¢0.0¢-$34K
Hawks vs. WarriorsNBAWarriorsResolved$10K70¢0.0¢-$10K
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$07.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?CryptoYesResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Packers vs. BearsNFLPackersResolved$96249¢0.0¢-$962
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$02.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$22812¢0.0¢-$228
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?CryptoYesResolved$2.4K24¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?BoxingNoResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?Champions LeagueNoResolved$5.4K61¢0.0¢-$5.4K
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of January?FinanceYesResolved$477¢0.0¢-$4
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?CultureYesResolved$11813¢0.0¢-$118
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 26?CryptoYesResolved$1.1K33¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 27?CryptoYesResolved$72513¢0.0¢-$725
Will Solana reach $160 November 24-30?CryptoYesResolved$2.1K10.0¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?Other sportsYesResolved$5331¢0.0¢-$53
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$219.0¢0.0¢-$21
Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB? NFLNoResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?TechYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Flames vs. Blue JacketsNHLFlamesResolved$4645¢0.0¢-$46
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$1.3K9.0¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?Champions LeagueNoResolved$30.9¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

NBA+$43K
College Hoops-$21K
Politics+$20K
Tennis-$20K
Crypto-$16K
NHL+$14K
Premier League+$11K
Culture+$8.2K
NFL+$6.1K
Olympics+$4.5K
Tech-$4.3K
Formula 1-$2.8K
Biggest hit
+$36K
Spurs vs. Thunder
Toughest beat
-$17K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19819d ago