← Whale Watch

lumpenspace

Predicting since Nov 202360 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $6.3K on Tech markets since Nov 2023.

Right now: $3.9K riding on AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?.

Biggest hit: +$2.2K on Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?TechYes$449.7¢7.6¢-$9
VEO 4 released by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$1033¢0.0¢-$10
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$304.1¢0.0¢-$30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$16063¢0.0¢-$160
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?TechYesResolved$3.9K62¢0.0¢-$3.9K
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?TechYesResolved$3110.0¢0.0¢-$31
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$937.4¢0.0¢-$93
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$1157.0¢0.0¢-$115
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?TechYesResolved$938.0¢0.0¢-$93
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?TechYesResolved$2015¢0.0¢-$20
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026?TechYesResolved$2537¢0.0¢-$25
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$3373.6¢0.0¢-$337
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$5317¢0.0¢-$53
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$4016¢0.0¢-$40
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$4123¢0.0¢-$41

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$6.3K
Culture-$2.2K
Mentions-$575
Crypto+$435
Politics+$152
Economy+$23
Biggest hit
+$2.2K
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?
Toughest beat
-$2.1K
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 24-31?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$4625d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1561mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$311mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1191mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$521mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1361mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?$411mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$211mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$201mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$211mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$961mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?$411mo ago