probabilitycheck

Predicting since Jan 2026106 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?Crypto	Yes	$3	30¢	12¢	-$2
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?Crypto	YesResolved	$2	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$0	0.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?Crypto	YesResolved	$3	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$3
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$1	17¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?Crypto	YesResolved	$3	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?Politics	YesResolved	$2	68¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$14	27¢	0.0¢	-$14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$2	5.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	38¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?Crypto	YesResolved	$3	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	46¢	0.0¢	-$2
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	43¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$4	43¢	0.0¢	-$4
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$8	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	53¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	50¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	34¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$29	28¢	0.0¢	-$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$138	27¢	0.0¢	-$138
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$264	26¢	0.0¢	-$264
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	42¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$9	30¢	0.0¢	-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	39¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump talk to Ali Khamenei in February?Politics	YesResolved	$2	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	50¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$7	37¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?Crypto	YesResolved	$2	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	58¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$4	58¢	0.0¢	-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$517

Politics-$20

Finance+$0

Biggest hit

+$9

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?

Toughest beat

-$8

Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Recent moves

Bought No · QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$34mo ago
Sold No · Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$54mo ago
Bought No · QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$44mo ago
Bought No · Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?$24mo ago
Sold No · Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$54mo ago
Bought No · QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$04mo ago
Bought No · QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$14mo ago
Bought No · QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$14mo ago
Bought No · QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$14mo ago
Bought No · QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$24mo ago
Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$04mo ago
Cashed out No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$04mo ago