← Whale Watch

shinguang

Predicting since Jun 2022154 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $9.0K on Crypto markets since Jun 2022.

Right now: $4.4K riding on Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?.

Biggest hit: +$2.8K on BTC ETFs first week combined AUM between $10-30 billion?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1326¢0.0¢-$13
Germany confidence vote in 2024?PoliticsNoResolved$52817¢0.0¢-$528
Will the debate have less than 50 million viewers?PoliticsYesResolved$1032.8¢0.0¢-$103
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64PoliticsYesResolved$3204.3¢0.0¢-$320
Will Biden say "Inflation" at DNC speech?MentionsNoResolved$11725¢0.0¢-$117
ETH above $3,500 on Mar 29?CryptoYesResolved$383.9¢0.0¢-$38
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$1016¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times during Wednesday speech?MentionsNoResolved$8516¢0.0¢-$85
Trump posts less than 10 times on X?PoliticsYesResolved$1506.0¢0.0¢-$150
Trump violates gag order?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K51¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross under $70m opening weekend?FinanceYesResolved$1.5K9.2¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?CryptoNoResolved$4.4K16¢0.0¢-$4.4K
Will 'Civil War' gross more than $23m opening weekend?CultureNoResolved$829.0¢0.0¢-$82
No Reddit IPO in 2024FinanceYesResolved$3148.0¢0.0¢-$314
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?CryptoNoResolved$1.3K10¢0.0¢-$1.3K
SEC to NOT approve spot Bitcoin ETF by Jan 10?CryptoYesResolved$63116¢0.0¢-$631
Will the NDA win 326-350 seats?PoliticsYesResolved$68616¢0.0¢-$686
Will the $SAFE market cap be less than $1b one week after launch? CryptoYesResolved$1106.4¢0.0¢-$110
Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross less than $200m by May 15?FinanceYesResolved$70.7¢0.0¢-$7
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?CryptoNoResolved$3333¢0.0¢-$33
Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard Hot 100 next week?OtherNoResolved$2011¢0.0¢-$20
Will Obama say "Michelle" at DNC speech?MentionsNoResolved$18012¢0.0¢-$180
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$4928¢0.0¢-$49
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$5152.7¢0.0¢-$515
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$23312¢0.0¢-$233
Will Kamala Harris say "abortion ban" during her Wisconsin rally?MentionsNoResolved$357.0¢0.0¢-$35
Will 'Civil War' gross less than $17m opening weekend?CultureYesResolved$291.4¢0.0¢-$29
Will Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100?CultureYesResolved$263.0¢0.0¢-$26
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?CryptoNoResolved$1.0K4.6¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will the NDA win 300-325 seats?PoliticsYesResolved$5269.5¢0.0¢-$526
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April?OtherNoResolved$190.3¢0.0¢-$19
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?WeatherYesResolved$925.5¢0.0¢-$92
Will Trump save TikTok in first week?PoliticsNoResolved$941.5¢0.0¢-$94
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?WeatherNoResolved$08.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Walz say "Weird" or "Weirdo" at DNC speech?MentionsNoResolved$7028¢0.0¢-$70
zkSync airdrop by June 30?CryptoNoResolved$2311.9¢0.0¢-$231
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS?PoliticsNoResolved$1.8K18¢0.0¢-$1.8K
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 1)CricketNew ZealandResolved$21414¢0.0¢-$214
U19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19sCricketPakistan Under-19sResolved$23642¢0.0¢-$236
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?PoliticsNoResolved$90826¢0.0¢-$908
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$164.0¢0.0¢-$16
Will 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' gross under $35m opening weekend? FinanceYesResolved$4184.2¢0.0¢-$418
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30?CryptoNoResolved$35711¢0.0¢-$357
Will Trump say "Debate" at his rally?MentionsNoResolved$1128.0¢0.0¢-$112
BTC ETFs first week combined AUM between $30-60 billion?FinanceYesResolved$261.3¢0.0¢-$26
Will Kamala say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" at debate?MentionsNoResolved$19620¢0.0¢-$196
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?WeatherNoResolved$4765.3¢0.0¢-$476
Valorant: Team Envy vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffseSportsTeam EnvyResolved$12821¢0.0¢-$128
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNoResolved$430¢0.0¢-$4
Will 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' gross less than $50m opening weekend?FinanceYesResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' gross between $35m-40m opening weekend? FinanceYesResolved$1560.5¢0.0¢-$156
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34PoliticsYesResolved$990.5¢0.0¢-$99
Will Kamala say "inflation" at debate?MentionsNoResolved$2913¢0.0¢-$29
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4PoliticsYesResolved$7281.2¢0.0¢-$728
Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2024?EconomyYesResolved$333.3¢0.0¢-$33
GRAMMYs 2024: Will ‘Anti-Hero’ by Taylor Swift win Record of the Year?CultureYesResolved$44027¢0.0¢-$440
Will Trump tweet 5 times this week?PoliticsYesResolved$340.4¢0.0¢-$34
Indian Election: Modi reelected?PoliticsNoResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross between $200m-250m by May 15?FinanceYesResolved$2226.4¢0.0¢-$222
Will Barbie win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?CultureYesResolved$5522¢0.0¢-$55
No Eigenlayer token launch in 2024?CryptoYesResolved$8761.4¢0.0¢-$876
Will Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?MentionsNoResolved$2435.7¢0.0¢-$243
Solana above $150 on September 27?CryptoNoResolved$33917¢0.0¢-$339
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$24163¢0.0¢-$241
Will three SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?TechYesResolved$65.1¢0.0¢-$6
Blast launch delayed?TechYesResolved$1524.7¢0.0¢-$152
Will Hyperliquid not launch a token in 2024?CryptoYesResolved$3817¢0.0¢-$38
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?CryptoNoResolved$5893.9¢0.0¢-$589
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2024?EconomyYesResolved$292.9¢0.0¢-$29
Will the NDA lose?PoliticsYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Nawaz Sharif be next prime minister of Pakistan?PoliticsYesResolved$21.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will MrBeast's giveaway tweet be reposted <1.5m times?OtherYesResolved$371.6¢0.0¢-$37

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$9.0K
Politics-$3.3K
Other+$1.6K
Tech+$1.2K
Weather-$557
Cricket-$441
Finance+$176
Tennis+$168
eSports-$128
Economy+$121
Culture+$92
Mentions-$1
Biggest hit
+$2.8K
BTC ETFs first week combined AUM between $10-30 billion?
Toughest beat
-$706
Cricket: Who will win the India vs. Pakistan match starting October 23?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out South Africa · T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)$185d ago
  • Bought South Africa · T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)$95mo ago
  • Sold No · Will India join the Board of Peace?$45mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$55mo ago
  • Bought Pakistan Under-19s · U19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s$665mo ago
  • Bought Pakistan Under-19s · U19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s$825mo ago
  • Bought Pakistan Under-19s · U19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s$275mo ago
  • Bought Pakistan Under-19s · U19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s$465mo ago
  • Bought Pakistan Under-19s · U19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s$165mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$25mo ago
  • Cashed out Alcaraz · Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev$2005mo ago
  • Bought Alcaraz · Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev$85mo ago