 Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $268 | 8.3¢ | 5.0¢ | -$107 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Tech | Yes | $92 | 7.1¢ | 6.5¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $72 | 6.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$18 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | Yes | $1 | 43¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | Yes | $1 | 48¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.0¢ | 3.9¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.4¢ | 1.9¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $44 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
 Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $200 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 Paraguay?World Cup | YesResolved | $40 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Culture | NoResolved | $100 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?World Cup | YesResolved | $120 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?World Cup | YesResolved | $80 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on August 11?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 12?Weather | NoResolved | $268 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$268 |
 Will Scott Bessent attend Trump’s Xi summit?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 7?Weather | NoResolved | $150 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $382 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$382 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 0 Paraguay?World Cup | YesResolved | $30 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $54 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
 Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Tech | YesResolved | $24 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $410 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$410 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $164 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$164 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 13?Crypto | YesResolved | $325 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$325 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Haiti?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Trump out as President by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Mexico vs. England: Neither team to score first?World Cup | YesResolved | $105 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $30 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $87 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?World Cup | YesResolved | $25 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Haiti?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $489 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$489 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $99 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $160 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $22 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?Crypto | NoResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $52 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 11?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $130 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 8?Weather | YesResolved | $100 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will "Maternal Instinct" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Culture | YesResolved | $100 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?World Cup | YesResolved | $87 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $52 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $143 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$143 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $96 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $140 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$140 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?World Cup | YesResolved | $75 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Saudi Arabia to score first vs. Spain?World Cup | YesResolved | $37 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14?Crypto | YesResolved | $31 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18?Crypto | YesResolved | $1.7K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
| Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?World Cup | YesResolved | $80 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 11?Weather | YesResolved | $30 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18?Crypto | YesResolved | $416 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$416 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?World Cup | YesResolved | $75 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Will "Little Brother" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Culture | NoResolved | $100 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?World Cup | YesResolved | $150 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?World Cup | YesResolved | $110 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
| Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Culture | YesResolved | $600 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$600 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6?Weather | YesResolved | $50 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | NoResolved | $100 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 12?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $23 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Tunisia leading at halftime?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics | YesResolved | $368 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$368 |
| Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?Crypto | NoResolved | $10 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?World Cup | YesResolved | $137 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$137 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $269 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$269 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 16?Crypto | YesResolved | $93 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
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