| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 26¢ | 39¢ | +$6 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $14 | 29¢ | 34¢ | +$3 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | No | $15 | 30¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $15 | 29¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
 Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $15 | 30¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $14 | 27¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Politics | No | $11 | 22¢ | 27¢ | +$3 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 19¢ | 28¢ | +$4 |
 Blue wave in 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 30¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat?Politics | No | $14 | 30¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | No | $15 | 30¢ | 23¢ | -$4 |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Politics | No | $13 | 25¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $15 | 30¢ | 22¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?Politics | No | $14 | 29¢ | 21¢ | -$4 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $8 | 26¢ | 34¢ | +$2 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 28¢ | 20¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?Politics | No | $8 | 26¢ | 33¢ | +$2 |
 Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics | No | $12 | 24¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $11 | 22¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $12 | 23¢ | 19¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 23¢ | 19¢ | -$2 |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | No | $11 | 23¢ | 19¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Politics | No | $8 | 21¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?Politics | No | $8 | 16¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Politics | No | $14 | 29¢ | 18¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?Politics | No | $8 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?Politics | No | $8 | 15¢ | 17¢ | +$1 |
 Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $4 | 19¢ | 36¢ | +$4 |
 Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?Politics | No | $12 | 23¢ | 15¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?Politics | No | $14 | 27¢ | 15¢ | -$6 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech | No | $10 | 20¢ | 15¢ | -$2 |
| Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Politics | No | $7 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?Politics | No | $9 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?Politics | No | $8 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | No | $7 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?Politics | No | $7 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?Politics | No | $7 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
 Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?Politics | No | $8 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?Culture | No | $10 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
 Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $4 | 11¢ | 17¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
 Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | No | $11 | 22¢ | 12¢ | -$5 |
| Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Politics | No | $6 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?Politics | No | $7 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Politics | No | $7 | 26¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 11¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?Politics | No | $8 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 30¢ | 18¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?Politics | No | $9 | 18¢ | 11¢ | -$4 |
| Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?Politics | No | $10 | 19¢ | 11¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?Politics | No | $7 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
 Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?Culture | No | $7 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 21¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 27¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
 Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $5 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?Politics | No | $9 | 29¢ | 17¢ | -$4 |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Politics | No | $4 | 25¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 12¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $9 | 18¢ | 9.5¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 12¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 29¢ | 31¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?Politics | No | $7 | 14¢ | 9.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $10 | 19¢ | 9.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat?Politics | No | $7 | 24¢ | 15¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $8 | 30¢ | 18¢ | -$3 |
 Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Politics | No | $10 | 20¢ | 8.6¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?Politics | No | $5 | 10¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | No | $4 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?Politics | No | $7 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Tech | No | $5 | 30¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $4 | 27¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $5 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
 Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?Politics | No | $8 | 25¢ | 13¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 24¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?Politics | No | $5 | 30¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $3 | 27¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
 Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 24¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
| Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $3 | 30¢ | 34¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 29¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
 Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Politics | No | $6 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $6 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $3 | 28¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 16¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?Politics | No | $5 | 16¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
Sold No · Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$013h ago
Bought No · Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?$217h ago
Bought No · Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?$117h ago
Bought No · Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?$120h ago
Bought No · Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?$123h ago
Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$223h ago
Sold No · Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$523h ago
Sold No · Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?$21d ago