← Whale Watch

Risky-MooLa

Predicting since Jan 202626,047 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $768 riding on Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$76885¢91¢+$46
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 26?WeatherNo$101100¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 26?WeatherNo$101100¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 26?WeatherNo$101100¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 26?WeatherNo$101100¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 26?WeatherNo$101100¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 26?WeatherNo$100100¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 26?WeatherNo$100100¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 26?WeatherNo$100100¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 26?WeatherNo$100100¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 26?WeatherNo$100100¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 26?WeatherNo$100100¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 26?WeatherNo$100100¢100¢+$0
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsNo$7982¢66¢-$16
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 26?WeatherNo$28100¢100¢+$0
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?CryptoNo$946¢90¢+$9
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$1385¢95¢+$1
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?UFC / MMAYes$15.0¢81¢+$12
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?PoliticsYes$2020¢11¢-$9
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?CultureNo$1097¢98¢+$0
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?PoliticsNo$1096¢98¢+$0
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?PoliticsYes$990¢96¢+$1
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?PoliticsNo$985¢95¢+$1
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$880¢88¢+$1
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2525¢8.5¢-$17
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$01.3¢41¢+$8
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?CultureYes$211¢43¢+$6
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsYes$1327¢14¢-$6
Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?UFC / MMAYes$11.0¢7.2¢+$5
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$546¢55¢+$1
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?PoliticsYes$05.0¢48¢+$4
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?PoliticsYes$816¢9.5¢-$3
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYes$110.0¢42¢+$3
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$01.0¢80¢+$4
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$11.8¢8.8¢+$3
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsYes$00.8¢7.0¢+$3
Surf FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$05.0¢26¢+$2
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?PoliticsYes$317¢12¢-$1
Yo FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoYes$16.0¢24¢+$2
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoYes$16.0¢23¢+$2
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$12.0¢5.7¢+$1
Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?UFC / MMAYes$11.0¢3.4¢+$1
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$769¢21¢-$5
Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next?UFC / MMAYes$15.0¢12¢+$1
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$12.0¢4.7¢+$1
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$11.1¢2.1¢+$1
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?eSportsYes$124¢27¢+$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$13.5¢5.1¢+$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$13.4¢4.9¢+$0
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsYes$00.7¢3.6¢+$1
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$11.8¢2.4¢+$0
Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$01.1¢20¢+$1
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$14.0¢5.1¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 12?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23?WeatherYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15?WeatherYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 24?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$275.3¢0.0¢-$27
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 17?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 29?WeatherYesResolved$09.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 31?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?WeatherYesResolved$169.1¢0.0¢-$16
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 23?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 29?WeatherYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 15?WeatherYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 25?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?CultureYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on May 16?WeatherYesResolved$99.1¢0.0¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 30?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 17?WeatherYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 12?WeatherYesResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on June 16?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 20?WeatherYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 16?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on June 3?WeatherYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 13?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 24?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 24?WeatherYesResolved$55.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 10?WeatherYesResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?WeatherYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 27?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 28?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 16?WeatherYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 29?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?WeatherYesResolved$67.9¢0.0¢-$6
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on June 5?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 17?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 30?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 14?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 22?WeatherYesResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9?WeatherYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather-$602
World Cup-$99
Politics-$76
UFC / MMA+$49
eSports-$46
Tech-$31
Economy+$27
NBA+$15
Soccer (other)+$12
Crypto-$10
Culture-$9
Finance-$8
Biggest hit
+$200
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 15?
Toughest beat
-$63
Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C or below on July 26?$1001h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 26?$1001h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 26?$1001h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on July 26?$1001h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on July 26?$1001h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 26?$341h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 26?$1011h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on July 26?$731h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 26?$1011h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on July 26?$731h ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 26?$1003h ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 26?$1003h ago