← Whale Watch

loliti

Predicting since May 202656 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $54K on Politics markets since May 2026.

Right now: $140K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?.

Biggest hit: +$32K on Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$140K99¢99¢+$682
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$99K99¢99¢+$150
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$80K99¢100¢+$593
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?CryptoNo$34K99¢100¢+$289
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsNo$33K98¢98¢-$13
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?CryptoNo$20K98¢100¢+$350
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?CryptoNo$19K95¢98¢+$580
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$13K86¢84¢-$375
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6.6K93¢100¢+$471
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.8K81¢99¢+$832
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.8K95¢95¢+$3
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.8K94¢94¢+$0
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K99¢100¢+$14
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$64868¢95¢+$254
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$96239¢14¢-$629
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$26794¢98¢+$11
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$9497¢98¢+$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$5597¢99¢+$1
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3395¢99¢+$1
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2196¢97¢+$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$695¢97¢+$0
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$33K38¢0.0¢-$33K
Spread: Norway (-2.5)World CupIraqResolved$6.9K64¢0.0¢-$6.9K
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$1331¢0.0¢-$13
Spread: Norway (-1.5)World CupIraqResolved$8.0K40¢0.0¢-$8.0K
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$41225¢0.0¢-$412

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$54K
World Cup-$24K
Finance+$8.8K
Crypto+$1.3K
Tech+$922
Biggest hit
+$32K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$72K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$3.5K15h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$50K15h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$50K15h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$317h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$517h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$517h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$517h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$317h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$717h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$15417h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$318h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$218h ago