 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $260 | 23¢ | 30¢ | +$74 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $237 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$11 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $221 | 78¢ | 83¢ | +$12 |
 Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $216 | 64¢ | 56¢ | -$27 |
 Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | No | $176 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $153 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$10 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $127 | 42¢ | 40¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Politics | No | $73 | 50¢ | 60¢ | +$14 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $80 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$3 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $80 | 68¢ | 70¢ | +$2 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | Yes | $77 | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$4 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $72 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $155 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$84 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13?Weather | Yes | $77 | 27¢ | 24¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $93 | 32¢ | 18¢ | -$42 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $46 | 36¢ | 40¢ | +$4 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $47 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $36 | 12¢ | 16¢ | +$9 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $45 | 17¢ | 15¢ | -$5 |
 Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $110 | 17¢ | 6.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will SC Lourel vs. SC Angrense end in a draw?Soccer (other) | Yes | $59 | 96¢ | 63¢ | -$21 |
 Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?Politics | Yes | $41 | 50¢ | 46¢ | -$3 |
 Will John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Politics | Yes | $64 | 21¢ | 13¢ | -$27 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $81 | 27¢ | 13¢ | -$43 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Politics | No | $40 | 52¢ | 49¢ | -$3 |
 Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $59 | 4.7¢ | 2.8¢ | -$24 |
 Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?Culture | No | $32 | 23¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Politics | No | $35 | 29¢ | 26¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?Politics | Yes | $45 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$14 |
| Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $15 | 3.4¢ | 6.7¢ | +$14 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $29 | 11¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
 Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $46 | 21¢ | 13¢ | -$18 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Politics | Yes | $97 | 32¢ | 9.5¢ | -$68 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | -$13 |
 Will Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu win the Falealili 1 by-election?Politics | Yes | $66 | 41¢ | 17¢ | -$39 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 12?Weather | No | $28 | 66¢ | 62¢ | -$2 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Politics | No | $18 | 33¢ | 44¢ | +$6 |
 Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Politics | Yes | $20 | 9.0¢ | 10¢ | +$3 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?Politics | Yes | $54 | 28¢ | 11¢ | -$33 |
| Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $39 | 6.5¢ | 3.4¢ | -$19 |
| Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $125 | 8.2¢ | 1.3¢ | -$105 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.4¢ | 8.3¢ | +$16 |
| Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $38 | 5.3¢ | 2.8¢ | -$18 |
 Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Weather | Yes | $22 | 43¢ | 39¢ | -$2 |
 Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $65 | 28¢ | 8.6¢ | -$45 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $21 | 6.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$5 |
 Israel military action against Lebanon on September 11?Politics | No | $12 | 3.3¢ | 4.2¢ | +$3 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $66 | 22¢ | 5.0¢ | -$51 |
| Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $23 | 8.8¢ | 5.5¢ | -$8 |
| Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $54 | 6.8¢ | 1.7¢ | -$41 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $11 | 20¢ | 24¢ | +$2 |
| Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 6.8¢ | 4.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $14 | 1.6¢ | 1.4¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $13 | 7.6¢ | 6.9¢ | -$1 |
| Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $8 | 7.7¢ | 10¢ | +$3 |
 Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $18 | 13¢ | 7.5¢ | -$8 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $16 | 2.5¢ | 1.7¢ | -$5 |
 Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election?Politics | Yes | $67 | 30¢ | 4.5¢ | -$57 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $16 | 7.6¢ | 4.9¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 12?Weather | No | $9 | 66¢ | 73¢ | +$1 |
 LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?Politics | Yes | $9 | 9.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $24 | 19¢ | 7.0¢ | -$16 |
 Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 20¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?Politics | No | $18 | 8.4¢ | 3.3¢ | -$11 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 2.4¢ | 2.2¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on September 12?Weather | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 23¢ | +$2 |
 Will Pedro Paulo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
 Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 10¢ | 28¢ | +$4 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 3.2¢ | 3.6¢ | +$1 |
 LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?Politics | Yes | $10 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | -$4 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?Politics | Yes | $29 | 7.0¢ | 1.3¢ | -$24 |
 LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?Politics | Yes | $5 | 5.3¢ | 4.7¢ | -$1 |
 LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?Politics | Yes | $14 | 14¢ | 4.5¢ | -$10 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $5 | 1.8¢ | 1.4¢ | -$1 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?Culture | No | $4 | 4.1¢ | 4.0¢ | -$0 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $5 | 4.8¢ | 3.6¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 6.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $27 | 9.0¢ | 1.0¢ | -$24 |
 Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 76¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $2 | 41¢ | 51¢ | +$1 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $3 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
 Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Politics | Yes | $12 | 14¢ | 3.1¢ | -$9 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 13?Weather | Yes | $3 | 9.9¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $2 | 45¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
 Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $1 | 15¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
 Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $2 | 42¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $2 | 48¢ | 46¢ | -$0 |
| Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 9.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $5 | 3.4¢ | 0.8¢ | -$4 |
| Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $1 | 8.0¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
| Will Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $1 | 2.5¢ | 1.9¢ | -$0 |
Sold Yes · Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?$101h ago