← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Jun 20261,060 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?PoliticsYes$25.0¢98¢+$28
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsYes$24.2¢27¢+$8
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?PoliticsYes$25.0¢31¢+$8
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$26.0¢31¢+$6
Will MrBeast say "Best" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$220¢96¢+$6
Will Strava’s market cap be at least $15B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$13.8¢19¢+$6
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?CultureYes$17.1¢31¢+$5
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$118¢73¢+$4
Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?PoliticsNo$116¢60¢+$4
FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?TechNo$28.0¢28¢+$4
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsYes$28.0¢25¢+$3
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsYes$128¢89¢+$3
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?PoliticsYes$217¢48¢+$3
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?PoliticsYes$29.0¢25¢+$3
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?PoliticsYes$211¢30¢+$3
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?PoliticsNo$118¢66¢+$3
Will Hunter Gordon advance to the general election for WA-01?PoliticsYes$217¢44¢+$2
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?Other sportsYes$13.3¢8.3¢+$2
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$220¢47¢+$2
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?PoliticsNo$23.7¢8.6¢+$2
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsYes$19.0¢28¢+$2
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$116¢38¢+$2
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold PropositionPoliticsNo$230¢67¢+$2
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?PoliticsNo$230¢66¢+$2
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$230¢65¢+$2
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?CultureYes$28.0¢17¢+$2
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?PoliticsYes$210¢21¢+$2
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$230¢63¢+$2
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?PoliticsYes$214¢28¢+$2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$216¢31¢+$2
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$129¢63¢+$2
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?PoliticsYes$230¢60¢+$2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsNo$226¢50¢+$1
Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by August 31?PoliticsNo$225¢49¢+$1
Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?CultureNo$210¢20¢+$1
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?PoliticsNo$223¢40¢+$1
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$226¢47¢+$1
Will Clavicular visit Colombia in 2026?CultureYes$226¢47¢+$1
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?PoliticsYes$230¢55¢+$1
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?PoliticsYes$212¢21¢+$1
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsNo$219¢34¢+$1
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$222¢38¢+$1
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?CultureYes$116¢30¢+$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$29.0¢16¢+$1
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$130¢52¢+$1
Will “Survivor” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?CultureYes$217¢29¢+$1
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYes$124¢42¢+$1
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?PoliticsNo$227¢42¢+$1
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?EconomyYes$124¢41¢+$1
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsYes$215¢25¢+$1
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?PoliticsYes$215¢25¢+$1
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?CultureNo$211¢18¢+$1
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$128¢49¢+$1
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$129¢49¢+$1
Will Strava’s market cap be between $4B and $5B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$25.0¢8.0¢+$1
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?PoliticsYes$213¢20¢+$1
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?PoliticsYes$125¢40¢+$1
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$217¢27¢+$1
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?PoliticsNo$13.8¢6.0¢+$1
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsNo$16.7¢11¢+$1
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?CultureNo$217¢26¢+$1
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?PoliticsYes$214¢21¢+$1
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$226¢38¢+$1
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$25.0¢7.5¢+$1
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?PoliticsNo$226¢38¢+$1
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?PoliticsYes$26.9¢10¢+$1
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?PoliticsNo$213¢19¢+$1
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?PoliticsYes$121¢32¢+$1
Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday?CultureYes$222¢32¢+$1
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$25.0¢7.2¢+$1
Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Haley Stevens in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?PoliticsYes$220¢27¢+$1
Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be between 70k and 80k?CultureYes$225¢36¢+$1
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsYes$25.0¢7.0¢+$1
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$220¢26¢+$0
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?CultureYes$129¢42¢+$1
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?PoliticsNo$129¢42¢+$1
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsYes$225¢34¢+$1
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? PoliticsYes$227¢34¢+$0
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?PoliticsNo$223¢30¢+$0
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?PoliticsYes$129¢41¢+$1
Will Charles Melton – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$219¢25¢+$1
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$215¢20¢+$1
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?TechYes$225¢34¢+$1
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$219¢25¢+$0
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?PoliticsYes$118¢25¢+$1
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$28.0¢11¢+$0
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?CultureNo$28.0¢11¢+$0
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?PoliticsNo$121¢28¢+$1
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$230¢40¢+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$219¢25¢+$0
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$29.0¢12¢+$0
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsYes$29.0¢12¢+$0
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$124¢33¢+$1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$116¢21¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?PoliticsYes$210¢13¢+$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsYes$128¢38¢+$0
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$230¢38¢+$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other)Yes$215¢19¢+$0
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$220¢23¢+$0
Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$211¢13¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$98
World Cup-$57
Tech-$29
Mentions-$21
eSports-$13
Culture+$10
NBA-$8
Boxing-$7
MLB-$7
NFL-$6
UFC / MMA-$6
Economy-$5
Biggest hit
+$50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will "Israel" be in the headlines this week?$159m ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will a trailer for God of War Laufey premiere at SDCC 2026?$65h ago
  • Bought No · AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$28h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?$810h ago
  • Bought Yes · Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?$216h ago
  • Bought Yes · US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?$118h ago
  • Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$218h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?$218h ago
  • Bought No · Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?$118h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31?$819h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$21d ago
  • Bought Yes · Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner engaged in 2026?$11d ago