Unwilling-Refuge

Predicting since Jan 2022161 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Trump say "Cat" in May?Mentions	YesResolved	$2	50¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1560-1599 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$4	10¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$4	25¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in May 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Mentions+$85

Politics+$31

Other-$6

Crypto-$4

Weather+$3

Basketball (other)-$1

eSports-$1

Tech+$1

Culture-$0

Biggest hit

+$55

Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?

Toughest beat

-$11

Will Trump name "Bolsonaro" in April?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$13mo ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$13mo ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$13mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$43mo ago
CONVERSION Which company has best AI model end of June?$03mo ago
SPLIT Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$53mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$13mo ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$03mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$04mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?$04mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?$04mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?$04mo ago