← Whale Watch

ThaGuus

Predicting since Aug 202531 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.0K on Politics markets since Aug 2025.

Right now: $911 riding on US government shutdown by October 1?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Formula 1YesResolved$46.0¢100¢+$63
US government shutdown by October 1?PoliticsNoResolved$91135¢0.0¢-$911
Will Trump say "Beautiful wife" or "Wonderful wife" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?MentionsYesResolved$575¢0.0¢-$5
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "FBI" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?MentionsYesResolved$1048¢0.0¢-$10
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$39.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$2039¢0.0¢-$20
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$1039¢0.0¢-$10
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Formula 1NoResolved$6414¢0.0¢-$64
Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender?PoliticsNoResolved$130.4¢0.0¢-$13
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$327¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Charlie / Kirk" 15+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?MentionsNoResolved$330¢0.0¢-$3
Will Netherlands win on 2025-09-04?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2685¢0.0¢-$26

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.0K
Tech-$31
MLB-$25
Culture-$10
Champions League+$6
Formula 1+$3
Soccer (other)-$1
Mentions+$1
Biggest hit
+$37
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?
Toughest beat
-$43
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$109mo ago
  • Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$99mo ago
  • Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$229mo ago
  • Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$499mo ago
  • Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$59mo ago
  • Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$169mo ago
  • Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$59mo ago
  • Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$1029mo ago
  • Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$419mo ago
  • Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$39mo ago
  • Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$179mo ago
  • Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$49mo ago