Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Mentions | YesResolved | $267 | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$355 |
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?eSports | NoResolved | $340 | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$256 |
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026Crypto | No | $322 | 71¢ | 83¢ | +$54 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | OpenAI | $208 | 34¢ | 11¢ | -$141 |
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?Crypto | Yes | $70 | 81¢ | 45¢ | -$32 |
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $13 | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $42 | 12¢ | 3.5¢ | -$30 |
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?NBA | NoResolved | $9 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 28¢ | 14¢ | -$8 |
Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?NBA | NoResolved | $3 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?NBA | NoResolved | $1 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $4 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $8 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)Basketball (other) | South Carolina State BulldogsResolved | $207 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$207 |
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Marshall Curry - SNL50: Beyond Saturday Night win Best Director of a Documentary Series or News at the 78th DGA Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $331 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$331 |
Trump executive order ending NASA in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Harmonix FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will prjx launch a token in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Celonis IPO in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $202 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$202 |
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | OpenAIResolved | $24 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Freddie Mac IPO in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 109m?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?NBA | YesResolved | $1 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | NoResolved | $3 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?Weather | NoResolved | $8 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?Weather | NoResolved | $6 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Howard Bison vs. UNCW SeahawksBasketball (other) | UNCW SeahawksResolved | $321 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$321 |
New pandemic in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
SBF released from custody in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Rob Rausch win The Traitors US: Season 4?Culture | NoResolved | $170 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
John Brennan federally charged by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 25 be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?Crypto | NoResolved | $113 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$113 |
Will Fogo launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump end NASA in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |