Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $652 | 8.0¢ | 24¢ | +$1.3K |
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $655 | 22¢ | 34¢ | +$383 |
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $264 | 12¢ | 35¢ | +$514 |
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $659 | 23¢ | 19¢ | -$119 |
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?Economy | No | $252 | 47¢ | 95¢ | +$259 |
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $316 | 26¢ | 36¢ | +$117 |
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Politics | No | $325 | 22¢ | 23¢ | +$13 |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $301 | 29¢ | 27¢ | -$16 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Tech | No | $101 | 28¢ | 76¢ | +$173 |
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Politics | Yes | $129 | 30¢ | 51¢ | +$88 |
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | No | $181 | 40¢ | 42¢ | +$7 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $278 | 37¢ | 24¢ | -$96 |
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Politics | No | $302 | 19¢ | 9.0¢ | -$158 |
Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $123 | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$17 |
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | No | $204 | 30¢ | 21¢ | -$65 |
Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Politics | No | $130 | 50¢ | 51¢ | +$4 |
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?Politics | No | $145 | 25¢ | 19¢ | -$40 |
| Will Trump hug someone on July 4?Politics | Yes | $183 | 56¢ | 26¢ | -$99 |
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Politics | No | $96 | 28¢ | 23¢ | -$20 |
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $116 | 37¢ | 18¢ | -$62 |
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?Politics | No | $11 | 17¢ | 69¢ | +$34 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $129 | 34¢ | 11¢ | -$87 |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?Politics | No | $751 | 33¢ | 1.6¢ | -$716 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $733 | 16¢ | 0.7¢ | -$704 |
Will Rick Brattin be the MO-05 Republican nominee?Politics | No | $29 | 22¢ | 22¢ | +$0 |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | No | $640 | 25¢ | 0.7¢ | -$623 |
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 14¢ | 3.7¢ | -$20 |
Will Giuseppe Tortora win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $23 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Crypto | NoResolved | $318 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$318 |
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech | NoResolved | $517 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$517 |
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Politics | NoResolved | $471 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$471 |
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Politics | NoResolved | $402 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$402 |
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?Tech | NoResolved | $134 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$134 |
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $41 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $97 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$97 |
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Politics | NoResolved | $630 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$630 |
| Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $633 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$633 |
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $701 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$701 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $616 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$616 |
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Trump say "Fuel" during Wisconsin events?Mentions | NoResolved | $153 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$153 |
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?Economy | NoResolved | $744 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$744 |
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics | NoResolved | $743 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$743 |
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?Culture | NoResolved | $350 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$350 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $635 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$635 |
Will Marco Rubio attend the G7 Summit?Politics | NoResolved | $146 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$146 |
| Will Trump insult someone on July 4?Politics | NoResolved | $19 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Politics | NoResolved | $553 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$553 |
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?Politics | NoResolved | $747 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$747 |
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?Politics | NoResolved | $310 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$310 |
Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $98 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1.6K | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 7+ times during Tribute to America Rally?Mentions | NoResolved | $261 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$261 |
| Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $19B and $22B at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $43 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?Tech | YesResolved | $693 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$693 |
Will Heidi Hall advance from the CA-03 primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $660 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$660 |
Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $313 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$313 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?Politics | NoResolved | $234 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$234 |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May?Economy | NoResolved | $352 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$352 |
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $163 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$163 |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Wisconsin events?Mentions | NoResolved | $54 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
Will Trump say "Hottest" during June 24 Rally?Mentions | NoResolved | $208 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$208 |
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?Culture | NoResolved | $78 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $731 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$731 |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Tribute to America Rally?Mentions | NoResolved | $8 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Trump say "World War" during Tribute to America Rally?Mentions | NoResolved | $31 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $244 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$244 |
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?Politics | NoResolved | $334 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$334 |
Will "I Will Find You" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Culture | NoResolved | $74 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Culture | NoResolved | $640 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$640 |
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Politics | NoResolved | $748 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$748 |
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $230 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$230 |
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Politics | NoResolved | $200 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $29 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |