 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $470 | 45¢ | 47¢ | +$16 |
 Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $192 | 16¢ | 38¢ | +$256 |
 Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Politics | No | $350 | 14¢ | 17¢ | +$63 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $482 | 32¢ | 26¢ | -$98 |
 Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Politics | No | $470 | 14¢ | 9.5¢ | -$151 |
 Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Politics | No | $373 | 20¢ | 17¢ | -$61 |
 Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $195 | 28¢ | 40¢ | +$77 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $147 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$11 |
| Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $73 | 18¢ | 25¢ | +$27 |
| Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $60 | 22¢ | 30¢ | +$20 |
 Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September?Politics | No | $68 | 31¢ | 34¢ | +$5 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Politics | No | $52 | 22¢ | 19¢ | -$7 |
 Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?Politics | No | $70 | 27¢ | 17¢ | -$27 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy | No | $177 | 15¢ | 2.5¢ | -$148 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | Yes | $39 | 18¢ | 6.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will Giuseppe Tortora win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $23 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Crypto | NoResolved | $318 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$318 |
 Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech | NoResolved | $517 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$517 |
 Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Politics | NoResolved | $471 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$471 |
 Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Politics | NoResolved | $402 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$402 |
 Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?Tech | NoResolved | $134 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$134 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $41 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $129 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$129 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $97 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$97 |
 Will Rick Brattin be the MO-05 Republican nominee?Politics | NoResolved | $29 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Politics | NoResolved | $630 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$630 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $264 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$264 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $655 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$655 |
 Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $633 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$633 |
 Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $701 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$701 |
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Politics | NoResolved | $302 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$302 |
 Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $616 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$616 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Trump say "Fuel" during Wisconsin events?Mentions | NoResolved | $153 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$153 |
 Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?Politics | NoResolved | $145 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$145 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?Economy | NoResolved | $744 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$744 |
 Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?Politics | NoResolved | $123 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$123 |
 Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics | NoResolved | $743 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$743 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | NoResolved | $301 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$301 |
 Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?Culture | NoResolved | $350 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$350 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $635 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$635 |
 Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?Politics | NoResolved | $473 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$473 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $204 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$204 |
 Will Marco Rubio attend the G7 Summit?Politics | NoResolved | $146 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$146 |
 Will Trump insult someone on July 4?Politics | NoResolved | $19 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Politics | NoResolved | $553 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$553 |
 Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Politics | NoResolved | $96 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $278 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
 Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?Politics | NoResolved | $747 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$747 |
 Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?Politics | NoResolved | $310 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$310 |
 Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $98 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1.6K | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
 Will Trump say "Beautiful" 7+ times during Tribute to America Rally?Mentions | NoResolved | $261 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$261 |
 Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $19B and $22B at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $43 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
 Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?Tech | YesResolved | $693 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$693 |
 Will Heidi Hall advance from the CA-03 primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $733 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$733 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $660 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$660 |
 Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $313 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$313 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Politics | NoResolved | $137 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$137 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?Politics | NoResolved | $234 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$234 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May?Economy | NoResolved | $352 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$352 |
 Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $163 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$163 |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?Politics | NoResolved | $751 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$751 |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Wisconsin events?Mentions | NoResolved | $54 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
 Will Trump say "Hottest" during June 24 Rally?Mentions | NoResolved | $208 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$208 |
 Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?Culture | NoResolved | $78 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
 Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $731 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$731 |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Politics | NoResolved | $325 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$325 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | NoResolved | $652 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$652 |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Tribute to America Rally?Mentions | NoResolved | $8 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Politics | NoResolved | $130 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
| Will Trump say "World War" during Tribute to America Rally?Mentions | NoResolved | $31 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $244 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$244 |
| Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?Politics | NoResolved | $334 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$334 |
 Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | NoResolved | $640 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$640 |
 Will "I Will Find You" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Culture | NoResolved | $74 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
 Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Trump hug someone on July 4?Politics | YesResolved | $183 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$183 |
 Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Culture | NoResolved | $640 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$640 |
| Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Politics | NoResolved | $748 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$748 |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $659 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$659 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Politics | YesResolved | $129 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$129 |
 Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $230 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$230 |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Politics | NoResolved | $200 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | NoResolved | $226 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$226 |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Culture | NoResolved | $143 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$143 |
 Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $29 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Cashed out No · Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?$8335d ago