← Whale Watch

Contradict

Predicting since Jun 202698 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.8K on Politics markets since Jun 2026.

Right now: $1.6K riding on Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?.

Biggest hit: +$2.0K on Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$6528.0¢24¢+$1.3K
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$65522¢34¢+$383
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$26412¢35¢+$514
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$65923¢19¢-$119
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?EconomyNo$25247¢95¢+$259
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$31626¢36¢+$117
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?PoliticsNo$32522¢23¢+$13
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$30129¢27¢-$16
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?TechNo$10128¢76¢+$173
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?PoliticsYes$12930¢51¢+$88
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$18140¢42¢+$7
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$27837¢24¢-$96
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?PoliticsNo$30219¢9.0¢-$158
Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$12318¢20¢+$17
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?EconomyNo$20430¢21¢-$65
Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?PoliticsNo$13050¢51¢+$4
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?PoliticsNo$14525¢19¢-$40
Will Trump hug someone on July 4?PoliticsYes$18356¢26¢-$99
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsNo$9628¢23¢-$20
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$11637¢18¢-$62
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?PoliticsNo$1117¢69¢+$34
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$12934¢11¢-$87
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?PoliticsNo$75133¢1.6¢-$716
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$73316¢0.7¢-$704
Will Rick Brattin be the MO-05 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$2922¢22¢+$0
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$64025¢0.7¢-$623
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2714¢3.7¢-$20
Will Giuseppe Tortora win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$2331¢0.0¢-$23
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?CryptoNoResolved$3184.0¢0.0¢-$318
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechNoResolved$51720¢0.0¢-$517
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?PoliticsNoResolved$47119¢0.0¢-$471
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?PoliticsNoResolved$40244¢0.0¢-$402
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?TechNoResolved$13414¢0.0¢-$134
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?EconomyYesResolved$4117¢0.0¢-$41
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?TechNoResolved$9714¢0.0¢-$97
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?PoliticsNoResolved$63021¢0.0¢-$630
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$63338¢0.0¢-$633
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$7019.3¢0.0¢-$701
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$61620¢0.0¢-$616
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by June 30?TechYesResolved$1220¢0.0¢-$12
Will Trump say "Fuel" during Wisconsin events?MentionsNoResolved$15341¢0.0¢-$153
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?EconomyNoResolved$74439¢0.0¢-$744
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?PoliticsNoResolved$74329¢0.0¢-$743
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?CultureNoResolved$35028¢0.0¢-$350
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?PoliticsYesResolved$63518¢0.0¢-$635
Will Marco Rubio attend the G7 Summit?PoliticsNoResolved$14631¢0.0¢-$146
Will Trump insult someone on July 4?PoliticsNoResolved$197.1¢0.0¢-$19
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?PoliticsNoResolved$55352¢0.0¢-$553
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?PoliticsNoResolved$74740¢0.0¢-$747
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?PoliticsNoResolved$31011¢0.0¢-$310
Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?MentionsNoResolved$9832¢0.0¢-$98
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K26¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 7+ times during Tribute to America Rally?MentionsNoResolved$26129¢0.0¢-$261
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $19B and $22B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$4318¢0.0¢-$43
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?TechYesResolved$69332¢0.0¢-$693
Will Heidi Hall advance from the CA-03 primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$512¢0.0¢-$5
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$66025¢0.0¢-$660
Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?PoliticsNoResolved$31313¢0.0¢-$313
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?PoliticsNoResolved$23423¢0.0¢-$234
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May?EconomyNoResolved$35233¢0.0¢-$352
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$4015¢0.0¢-$40
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$16339¢0.0¢-$163
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Wisconsin events?MentionsNoResolved$5419¢0.0¢-$54
Will Trump say "Hottest" during June 24 Rally?MentionsNoResolved$20816¢0.0¢-$208
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?CultureNoResolved$7839¢0.0¢-$78
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$73113¢0.0¢-$731
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Tribute to America Rally?MentionsNoResolved$822¢0.0¢-$8
Will Trump say "World War" during Tribute to America Rally?MentionsNoResolved$3117¢0.0¢-$31
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?TechNoResolved$24410¢0.0¢-$244
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?PoliticsNoResolved$33413¢0.0¢-$334
Will "I Will Find You" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?CultureNoResolved$7427¢0.0¢-$74
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?CultureNoResolved$64021¢0.0¢-$640
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?PoliticsNoResolved$74849¢0.0¢-$748
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$23018¢0.0¢-$230
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?PoliticsNoResolved$20011¢0.0¢-$200
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$2918¢0.0¢-$29

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$4.8K
Tech-$1.9K
Mentions+$1.6K
Culture-$857
Economy+$320
Crypto-$318
Finance-$43
Biggest hit
+$2.0K
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$771d ago
  • Bought No · Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?$1271d ago
  • Sold No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?$2721d ago
  • Bought No · No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?$2753d ago
  • Bought No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$3103d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$1043d ago
  • Bought No · Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$3264d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?$1294d ago
  • Sold No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?$804d ago
  • Sold No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?$174d ago
  • Sold No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?$504d ago
  • Sold No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?$1494d ago