 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 2.0¢ | 0.1¢ | -$18 |
 Will annual inflation be 4.2% or more in July?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $20 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 220m?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Bank of Israel hike by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Lyntris' market cap be between $3B and $3.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 5?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Lyntris not IPO before October 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 210m?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Bank of Israel cut by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on August 5?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 210m and 220m?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 5?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 5?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.1% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Bank of Israel hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |