 Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Politics | No | $1.3K | 65¢ | 62¢ | -$69 |
 Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?Weather | No | $1.0K | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$168 |
 Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?Politics | Yes | $735 | 71¢ | 96¢ | +$258 |
| Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBA | Yes | $853 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$44 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?Politics | Yes | $600 | 61¢ | 72¢ | +$106 |
 Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $817 | 94¢ | 68¢ | -$230 |
| Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?NBA | No | $465 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$42 |
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $690 | 37¢ | 27¢ | -$185 |
 Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $420 | 51¢ | 57¢ | +$52 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $455 | 35¢ | 35¢ | -$5 |
| Visa (V) Q3 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 11.5%-12.5%?Finance | No | $476 | 62¢ | 56¢ | -$49 |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | Yes | $408 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Seagate (STX) Q4 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 200?Finance | Yes | $348 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$39 |
| Will Boeing say "Airplane" 10+ times during earnings call?Mentions | Yes | $357 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$20 |
| Will Chevron (CVX) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.1M?Finance | No | $328 | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$7 |
| Will Boeing say "Consumer" 10+ times during earnings call?Mentions | No | $300 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Services revenue be above $32B?Finance | No | $304 | 76¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | No | $265 | 86¢ | 97¢ | +$34 |
| Will Boeing say "Program" during earnings call?Mentions | Yes | $292 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
| Visa (V) Q3 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 12.5%+?Finance | No | $294 | 82¢ | 79¢ | -$12 |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | No | $267 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | Yes | $839 | 38¢ | 12¢ | -$574 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Services revenue be above $31.5B?Finance | No | $270 | 54¢ | 53¢ | -$8 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $20B?Finance | No | $235 | 71¢ | 76¢ | +$16 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $18B?Finance | No | $264 | 34¢ | 25¢ | -$76 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?Economy | No | $193 | 56¢ | 51¢ | -$18 |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $134 | 18¢ | 23¢ | +$39 |
| Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | No | $174 | 87¢ | 81¢ | -$11 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% or less in July?Economy | No | $117 | 71¢ | 92¢ | +$36 |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by August 31?Economy | No | $131 | 64¢ | 75¢ | +$22 |
| Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q4 total revenues be above $3.8B?Finance | No | $146 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $220 | 17¢ | 11¢ | -$83 |
| Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5%-8.5%?Finance | No | $95 | 59¢ | 78¢ | +$30 |
| Will AbbVie Q2 Global Rinvoq net revenues be above $2.3B?Finance | Yes | $118 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $200 | 20¢ | 12¢ | -$80 |
 Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?Politics | No | $111 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
| Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix <30%?Finance | Yes | $66 | 23¢ | 42¢ | +$52 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $85 | 17¢ | 24¢ | +$33 |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 14¢ | 57¢ | +$87 |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | No | $117 | 75¢ | 73¢ | -$4 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $19B?Finance | No | $49 | 25¢ | 56¢ | +$59 |
| Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $110 | 22¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $97 | 57¢ | 61¢ | +$7 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $56.5B?Finance | No | $243 | 61¢ | 26¢ | -$141 |
| Will Boeing say "Space" during earnings call?Mentions | No | $45 | 9.0¢ | 20¢ | +$55 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Tech | No | $70 | 18¢ | 23¢ | +$20 |
 Will LAB reach $22 before 2027?Crypto | Yes | $146 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$61 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Tech | Yes | $65 | 73¢ | 91¢ | +$16 |
 Will Adam Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?Politics | No | $74 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
| Will 220-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | No | $57 | 60¢ | 78¢ | +$17 |
| Visa (V) Q3 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 10.5%-11.5%?Finance | Yes | $55 | 30¢ | 38¢ | +$13 |
| Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $81 | 70¢ | 59¢ | -$13 |
 Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Politics | Yes | $104 | 26¢ | 17¢ | -$38 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $220 | 44¢ | 13¢ | -$157 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?Politics | No | $57 | 57¢ | 62¢ | +$5 |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 3.5%-5%?Finance | No | $51 | 51¢ | 62¢ | +$11 |
 Will Akhmat Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?Politics | No | $58 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $83 | 80¢ | 56¢ | -$25 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July?Economy | No | $40 | 67¢ | 95¢ | +$17 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $68 | 33¢ | 27¢ | -$12 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by July 31?Finance | No | $54 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $51 | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 42%-44%?Finance | Yes | $52 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
 Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?Politics | Yes | $91 | 13¢ | 7.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will LAB reach $24 before 2027?Crypto | Yes | $49 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
| Will the earnings call not air?Mentions | Yes | $2 | 1.5¢ | 48¢ | +$46 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be at least 58.0 in July?Economy | No | $35 | 60¢ | 83¢ | +$13 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue be above $8B?Finance | No | $25 | 35¢ | 62¢ | +$19 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 5%-6.5%?Finance | Yes | $26 | 18¢ | 27¢ | +$14 |
| Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 8.5%-9.5%?Finance | No | $35 | 75¢ | 83¢ | +$4 |
| Will Boeing say "Guidance" during earnings call?Mentions | No | $28 | 24¢ | 30¢ | +$6 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $69 | 23¢ | 11¢ | -$35 |
| Will Boeing say "Tariff" during earnings call?Mentions | Yes | $47 | 34¢ | 24¢ | -$13 |
 Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $41 | 25¢ | 19¢ | -$9 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Politics | Yes | $33 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$2 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%?Economy | No | $24 | 81¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Culture | No | $30 | 60¢ | 58¢ | -$1 |
 Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $23 | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 3.0¢ | 10¢ | +$17 |
| Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?Politics | No | $22 | 22¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $54 | 12¢ | 4.3¢ | -$34 |
| Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix 34%-38%?Finance | No | $15 | 67¢ | 84¢ | +$4 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Politics | Yes | $60 | 20¢ | 6.5¢ | -$41 |
| Will Linde (LIN) Q2 sales be above $3.8B?Finance | Yes | $17 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will Alexey Russkikh win the next Ulyanovsk Oblast gubernatorial elections?Politics | Yes | $17 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | No | $16 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?Economy | Yes | $8 | 12¢ | 25¢ | +$9 |
 Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchCrypto | No | $7 | 14¢ | 34¢ | +$10 |
| Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $8 | 37¢ | 69¢ | +$7 |
| Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix 38%-42%?Finance | No | $14 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in July?Economy | Yes | $9 | 1.1¢ | 1.4¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 14¢ | 26¢ | +$5 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $117 | 10¢ | 0.9¢ | -$106 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud revenue be above $59.5B?Finance | Yes | $6 | 31¢ | 47¢ | +$3 |
| Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $5 | 22¢ | 46¢ | +$5 |
| Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?Finance | No | $9 | 73¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
| Visa (V) Q3 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 9.5%-10.5%?Finance | Yes | $4 | 13¢ | 30¢ | +$5 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | Yes | $152 | 14¢ | 0.8¢ | -$143 |
Sold No · Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #2 US song this week?$5040m ago