 Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $12 | 19¢ | 48¢ | +$19 |
 Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?Weather | Yes | $8 | 12¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
 D4vd released from custody in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 8.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$1 |
 Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?MLB | Yes | $0 | 3.0¢ | 87¢ | +$8 |
 Will Aaron Long win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?MLS | Yes | $1 | 3.0¢ | 24¢ | +$7 |
 Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 6.0¢ | 2.5¢ | -$11 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 9.0¢ | 8.9¢ | -$0 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 13¢ | 13¢ | +$0 |
 Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2027?Economy | No | $6 | 20¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
 Will Congress override any veto in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 12¢ | 5.0¢ | -$9 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 12¢ | 7.3¢ | -$3 |
 Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $10 | 17¢ | 8.5¢ | -$5 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Politics | Yes | $9 | 17¢ | 9.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 22¢ | 7.5¢ | -$7 |
 Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?Politics | Yes | $8 | 66¢ | 20¢ | -$6 |
 Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 9.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will Nkosi Tafari win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?MLS | Yes | $0 | 5.0¢ | 23¢ | +$2 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $0 | 17¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
 Will Iran hold a presidential election by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 29¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Ledger IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $0 | 30¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | Yes | $12 | 8.0¢ | 0.8¢ | -$11 |
 Will Maxx Crosby play for Washington Commanders next?NFL | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?Weather | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Alien arrests in New York hit 5000+ by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will Mamdani cancel class Thursday for the Knicks parade?NBA | YesResolved | $19 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 26, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $14 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $15 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Romuald Wadagni be the next President of Benin?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 60B in Q1?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?Tech | AnthropicResolved | $4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will "Samsung" be in the headlines this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Claude 4.8 released by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $22 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by July 31?Finance | NoResolved | $17 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will either Tate brother be arrested by June 30?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $16 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 260m?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 2?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will "Mamdani" be in the headlines this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $21 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Cindy Burbank be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $17 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Russia enter Riasne by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $22 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 19, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $17 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will James Gallagher advance from the CA-01 primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $14 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.6B?Tech | NoResolved | $19 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 11?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone in 2026?Other | NoResolved | $13 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Empire State couple charged by July 4?Culture | NoResolved | $9 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?Weather | NoResolved | $14 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will "Oil" be in the headlines this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $21 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $250M?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Economy | NoResolved | $4 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Hilda Solis advance from the CA-38 primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $14 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will "China" or "Chinese" be in the headlines this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $14 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $56 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 20 - April 26 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Uber # of trips above 4B in Q1?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?$147m ago
Cashed out No · Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by July 31?$31mo ago
Sold Yes · Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?$141mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Tim Walz resign by July 31?$02mo ago
Sold Yes · James Comey charges dropped by July 31?$32mo ago