← Whale Watch

Tr-mp

Predicting since Jan 20261,295 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.0K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?PoliticsYes$1512¢23¢+$14
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$1219¢40¢+$13
Will Brendan Hines-Ike win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?MLSYes$13.0¢44¢+$14
Will Aaron Long win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?MLSYes$13.0¢42¢+$13
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?PoliticsNo$1913¢8.1¢-$7
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?FinanceYes$128.0¢6.5¢-$2
D4vd released from custody in 2026?PoliticsYes$108.0¢7.0¢-$1
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?WeatherYes$812¢12¢+$0
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$912¢9.5¢-$2
Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$196.0¢2.3¢-$12
Will Walker Zimmerman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?MLSYes$17.0¢42¢+$5
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?PoliticsYes$917¢11¢-$3
Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?PoliticsYes$1122¢11¢-$6
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by July 31?FinanceYes$123.0¢1.3¢-$7
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1017¢7.5¢-$6
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in July 2026?PoliticsYes$192.2¢0.4¢-$15
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?PoliticsYes$866¢32¢-$4
Will Nkosi Tafari win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?MLSYes$05.0¢42¢+$3
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2027?EconomyNo$620¢12¢-$3
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?MLBYes$03.0¢32¢+$3
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by July 31?PoliticsNo$116¢93¢+$3
Will Stefan Frei win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?MLSYes$17.0¢27¢+$2
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1311¢2.0¢-$11
Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?PoliticsYes$79.0¢2.8¢-$5
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1811¢1.3¢-$16
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$39.0¢6.0¢-$1
Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1411¢1.6¢-$12
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?EconomyYesResolved$029¢100¢+$1
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by July 31?FinanceYes$94.0¢0.6¢-$8
Will Iran hold a presidential election by December 31?PoliticsYes$215¢9.0¢-$1
Ledger IPO before 2027?TechNo$030¢92¢+$1
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$011¢52¢+$1
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?WeatherYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Will Alien arrests in New York hit 5000+ by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2123¢0.0¢-$21
Will Mamdani cancel class Thursday for the Knicks parade?NBAYesResolved$193.0¢0.0¢-$19
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?WeatherYesResolved$82.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 26, 2026?TechYesResolved$146.0¢0.0¢-$14
Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1512¢0.0¢-$15
Will Romuald Wadagni be the next President of Benin?PoliticsNoResolved$135.0¢0.0¢-$13
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$96.0¢0.0¢-$9
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 60B in Q1?EconomyNoResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?PoliticsYesResolved$138.0¢0.0¢-$13
Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?TechAnthropicResolved$411¢0.0¢-$4
Will "Samsung" be in the headlines this week?MentionsYesResolved$206.0¢0.0¢-$20
Claude 4.8 released by June 30?TechNoResolved$223.0¢0.0¢-$22
Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?TechNoResolved$421¢0.0¢-$4
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?PoliticsYesResolved$1328¢0.0¢-$13
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by July 31?FinanceNoResolved$176.0¢0.0¢-$17
Will either Tate brother be arrested by June 30?CultureYesResolved$014¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$155.0¢0.0¢-$15
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?World CupYesResolved$162.0¢0.0¢-$16
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 260m?EconomyYesResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$89.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1427¢0.0¢-$14
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$152.0¢0.0¢-$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$645¢0.0¢-$6
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$646¢0.0¢-$6
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 2?PoliticsYesResolved$122.3¢0.0¢-$12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$448¢0.0¢-$4
Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$421¢0.0¢-$4
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$615¢0.0¢-$6
Will "Mamdani" be in the headlines this week?MentionsYesResolved$216.0¢0.0¢-$21
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1012¢0.0¢-$10
Will Cindy Burbank be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?PoliticsNoResolved$96.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?PoliticsNoResolved$134.0¢0.0¢-$13
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$179.0¢0.0¢-$17
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$155.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Russia enter Riasne by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$225.0¢0.0¢-$22
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?PoliticsNoResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2
Will Claude 5 be released by June 19, 2026?TechNoResolved$176.0¢0.0¢-$17
Will James Gallagher advance from the CA-01 primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$154.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?FinanceYesResolved$143.1¢0.0¢-$14
Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?PoliticsNoResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$226.0¢0.0¢-$22
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.6B?TechNoResolved$195.0¢0.0¢-$19
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 11?PoliticsYesResolved$132.0¢0.0¢-$13
Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$219.0¢0.0¢-$21
Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone in 2026?OtherNoResolved$132.0¢0.0¢-$13
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?TechYesResolved$83.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$109.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$513¢0.0¢-$5
Empire State couple charged by July 4?CultureNoResolved$96.0¢0.0¢-$9
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?WeatherNoResolved$142.0¢0.0¢-$14
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$104.0¢0.0¢-$10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?PoliticsYesResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$013¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Oil" be in the headlines this week?MentionsNoResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $250M?TechNoResolved$25.0¢0.0¢-$2
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$219.0¢0.0¢-$21
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1125¢0.0¢-$11
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?EconomyNoResolved$441¢0.0¢-$4
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?EconomyYesResolved$64.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Hilda Solis advance from the CA-38 primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$149.0¢0.0¢-$14
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1424¢0.0¢-$14
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will "China" or "Chinese" be in the headlines this week?MentionsNoResolved$1421¢0.0¢-$14
Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$2.0K
Tech-$442
Mentions-$236
Finance-$185
Weather-$120
MLS+$39
Other-$36
Economy-$32
Culture-$23
NBA-$19
eSports-$17
World Cup-$16
Biggest hit
+$43
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$13
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?$145d ago
  • Sold Yes · Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?$35d ago
  • Sold Yes · Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?$06d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tim Walz resign by July 31?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · James Comey charges dropped by July 31?$316d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$016d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?$516d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?$417d ago