Machaon

Predicting since Nov 2024727 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.4K on Economy markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $2.0K riding on Los Angeles Mayoral Election.

Biggest hit: +$2.0K on Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $430B on January 31?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy	No	$1.6K	12¢	21¢	+$1.0K
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics	Yes	$2.0K	66¢	64¢	-$75
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$520	10¢	13¢	+$105
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$803	32¢	24¢	-$212
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$475	24¢	27¢	+$64
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$344	23¢	20¢	-$49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	No	$197	28¢	43¢	+$97
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics	Yes	$320	32¢	23¢	-$95
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$230	46¢	27¢	-$95
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$161	16¢	12¢	-$37
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$101	5.0¢	5.1¢	+$1
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Politics	Yes	$87	2.5¢	2.6¢	+$7
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$242	4.8¢	1.8¢	-$154
Discord IPO before 2027?Tech	No	$32	38¢	65¢	+$22
Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026?Soccer (other)	Yes	$36	18¢	20¢	+$3
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy	Yes	$11	7.7¢	23¢	+$20
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics	No	$19	91¢	89¢	-$1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$87	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$87
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?World Cup	YesResolved	$25	16¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$5	16¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$494	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$494
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup	BelgiumResolved	$30	29¢	0.0¢	-$30

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Economy+$3.4K

Politics+$2.2K

Tech+$1.8K

Culture-$1.4K

Olympics-$1.2K

Mentions-$745

Weather-$742

Crypto+$643

World Cup-$635

eSports-$408

Other-$338

Other sports-$320

Biggest hit

+$2.0K

Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $430B on January 31?

Toughest beat

-$1.0K

Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?$01d ago
Bought Yes · Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?$01d ago
Bought Yes · Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?$01d ago
Bought No · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$142d ago
Bought No · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$02d ago
Bought No · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$322d ago
Bought No · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1913d ago
Bought No · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$13d ago
Bought No · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$03d ago
Bought No · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$13d ago
Bought No · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$03d ago
Bought No · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$13d ago