Quai-Orsay

Predicting since Mar 202676 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics	No	$29	37¢	86¢	+$39
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	No	$54	83¢	92¢	+$6
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	No	$60	62¢	59¢	-$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Finance	No	$31	57¢	92¢	+$19
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics	Yes	$32	46¢	61¢	+$10
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics	Yes	$25	49¢	82¢	+$17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$20	51¢	93¢	+$17
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Politics	Yes	$30	70¢	73¢	+$1
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Economy	Yes	$21	59¢	67¢	+$3
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	No	$18	45¢	40¢	-$2
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?Tech	No	$30	75¢	14¢	-$24
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?Politics	YesResolved	$2	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$2
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on April 30?Finance	YesResolved	$11	56¢	0.0¢	-$11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?Finance	UpResolved	$16	8.5¢	0.0¢	-$16
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $108 on April 30?Finance	YesResolved	$12	58¢	0.0¢	-$12
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?Finance	UpResolved	$15	75¢	0.0¢	-$15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on April 30?Finance	YesResolved	$24	47¢	0.0¢	-$24
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$50	76¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Finance	NoResolved	$11	60¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$18	71¢	0.0¢	-$18
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Politics	NoResolved	$3	17¢	0.0¢	-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance+$75

Politics+$43

Tech-$24

Economy+$3

Mentions+$2

Crypto-$1

Biggest hit

+$50

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Toughest beat

-$26

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?$32d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$263d ago
Bought No · OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?$24d ago
Bought No · OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?$294d ago
Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?$65d ago
Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?$255d ago
Bought Yes · Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?$306d ago
Bought No · Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$547d ago
Bought No · Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$327d ago
Bought No · Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$197d ago
Bought No · Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$107d ago