 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $184 | 92¢ | 71¢ | -$43 |
 Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Politics | No | $199 | 71¢ | 46¢ | -$70 |
 Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | No | $97 | 88¢ | 74¢ | -$16 |
 Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Politics | No | $96 | 80¢ | 64¢ | -$20 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Economy | Yes | $98 | 49¢ | 36¢ | -$26 |
 Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $110 | 55¢ | 34¢ | -$42 |
 Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?Politics | No | $71 | 95¢ | 87¢ | -$6 |
 Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?Politics | Yes | $69 | 86¢ | 74¢ | -$10 |
 Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Politics | Yes | $117 | 67¢ | 33¢ | -$60 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?Politics | No | $66 | 83¢ | 71¢ | -$10 |
 Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Politics | No | $68 | 75¢ | 49¢ | -$23 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Politics | No | $49 | 79¢ | 66¢ | -$8 |
 Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Culture | No | $119 | 60¢ | 19¢ | -$81 |
 Will Rigotto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Politics | No | $43 | 92¢ | 76¢ | -$8 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $36 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $45 | 85¢ | 62¢ | -$12 |
 Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $56 | 28¢ | 16¢ | -$25 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech | Yes | $36 | 90¢ | 77¢ | -$5 |
 Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $39 | 65¢ | 50¢ | -$9 |
 Will Bijan Robinson have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $41 | 69¢ | 49¢ | -$12 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Economy | No | $107 | 71¢ | 19¢ | -$79 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?Politics | No | $36 | 91¢ | 70¢ | -$8 |
 Will Václav Trojan be the next Mayor of Brno?Politics | No | $34 | 86¢ | 65¢ | -$9 |
 Will Georgia Tech have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?College Football | Yes | $30 | 74¢ | 61¢ | -$5 |
 Will Sunderland reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?Soccer (other) | No | $30 | 74¢ | 59¢ | -$6 |
 Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $104 | 52¢ | 12¢ | -$81 |
 Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Politics | No | $20 | 25¢ | 28¢ | +$2 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $114 | 57¢ | 11¢ | -$92 |
| Will LSU have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?College Football | No | $47 | 79¢ | 36¢ | -$26 |
 Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $28 | 46¢ | 33¢ | -$8 |
 Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Economy | No | $32 | 79¢ | 48¢ | -$12 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $26 | 88¢ | 63¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-22 House seat?Politics | Yes | $18 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $28 | 52¢ | 34¢ | -$10 |
 Will Masao Uchibori win the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $16 | 4.0¢ | 4.5¢ | +$2 |
 Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 92¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 70%-75%?Politics | No | $18 | 91¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 5.7¢ | 4.1¢ | -$6 |
 Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $32 | 79¢ | 41¢ | -$15 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $18 | 89¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
 Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 89¢ | 76¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Politics | No | $17 | 86¢ | 75¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 74¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 20%-25%?Politics | No | $18 | 89¢ | 74¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 45%-50%?Politics | No | $17 | 84¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
 Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $28 | 56¢ | 29¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election by 20%-25%?Politics | No | $17 | 84¢ | 72¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 20%-25%?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 72¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 40%-45%?Politics | No | $18 | 88¢ | 72¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 35%-40%?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 70¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $17 | 86¢ | 70¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election by 50%-55%?Politics | No | $17 | 86¢ | 70¢ | -$3 |
 Will Marián Porvažník win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $16 | 81¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 30%-35%?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 69¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $17 | 85¢ | 68¢ | -$3 |
 Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $22 | 29¢ | 18¢ | -$9 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 640,000 and 680,000?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 66¢ | -$4 |
 Will Guillaume Rousseau win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 83¢ | 63¢ | -$4 |
 Will Chloe Foster win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?Politics | No | $18 | 88¢ | 61¢ | -$5 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?Politics | No | $17 | 84¢ | 61¢ | -$5 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?Politics | No | $16 | 80¢ | 60¢ | -$4 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?Politics | No | $18 | 88¢ | 59¢ | -$6 |
 Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 89¢ | 59¢ | -$6 |
 Will Nicoletti win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?Politics | No | $16 | 80¢ | 58¢ | -$4 |
 Will Belgium be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?Soccer (other) | No | $16 | 80¢ | 58¢ | -$4 |
 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?Economy | No | $13 | 65¢ | 58¢ | -$1 |
| Will Celta Vigo reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?Soccer (other) | No | $13 | 67¢ | 55¢ | -$3 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $13 | 66¢ | 53¢ | -$3 |
 Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?Culture | No | $8 | 41¢ | 53¢ | +$2 |
 Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election?Politics | No | $14 | 91¢ | 68¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Politics | Yes | $13 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
 Will Omarion Hampton have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $13 | 64¢ | 48¢ | -$3 |
 Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 34¢ | 19¢ | -$8 |
 Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?eSports | Yes | $19 | 19¢ | 9.5¢ | -$10 |
 Will Manchester United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Premier League | Yes | $11 | 55¢ | 47¢ | -$2 |
 Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?Economy | Yes | $70 | 35¢ | 4.5¢ | -$61 |
 Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $11 | 5.6¢ | 4.3¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Politics | No | $14 | 72¢ | 44¢ | -$6 |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Economy | No | $17 | 83¢ | 43¢ | -$8 |
 Will Alexander Shuvaev win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?Politics | No | $25 | 6.3¢ | 2.1¢ | -$17 |
 Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?MLB | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 42¢ | +$6 |
 Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?Tech | No | $11 | 53¢ | 40¢ | -$3 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 8.0¢ | 4.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OR-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $10 | 5.0¢ | 3.9¢ | -$2 |
 Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Politics | No | $15 | 29¢ | 16¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $10 | 5.0¢ | 3.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $21 | 43¢ | 14¢ | -$14 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Tech | Yes | $50 | 33¢ | 4.5¢ | -$43 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?Politics | Yes | $14 | 16¢ | 7.5¢ | -$8 |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?Economy | Yes | $8 | 42¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
 Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | Yes | $18 | 18¢ | 6.5¢ | -$12 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $7 | 5.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?Politics | Yes | $10 | 5.0¢ | 3.1¢ | -$4 |
 Will Filipe Barros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 53¢ | 32¢ | -$4 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?Politics | Yes | $21 | 19¢ | 5.5¢ | -$15 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $13 | 27¢ | 12¢ | -$7 |
 Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 4.0¢ | 1.5¢ | -$10 |
 Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 8.0¢ | 3.2¢ | -$9 |
 Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?Culture | No | $6 | 5.0¢ | 4.7¢ | -$0 |
Sold Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?$5114m ago
Sold Yes · Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?$1526m ago
Sold Yes · Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$427m ago
Sold Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?$334m ago
Sold Yes · Will Drake release a new album by September 30?$436m ago