← Whale Watch

WhatTheHelly

Predicting since Nov 20241,069 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $16K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $3.0K across 17 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.0K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1.2K33¢34¢+$19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.3K23¢20¢-$194
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$94227¢26¢-$48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$5445.4¢4.7¢-$71
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$67518¢12¢-$225
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Soccer (other)Yes$21824¢28¢+$32
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$24411¢7.5¢-$78
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$86824¢1.5¢-$814
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsNo$56315¢0.1¢-$557
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsNo$1.0K28¢0.1¢-$1.0K
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Champions LeagueOverResolved$1947¢0.0¢-$19
Colombia leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$1089.0¢0.0¢-$108
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?World CupYesResolved$17611¢0.0¢-$176
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Canada?World CupYesResolved$18416¢0.0¢-$184
Israel strike on Damascus by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?La LigaYesResolved$13026¢0.0¢-$130
Nuggets vs. SpursNBASpursResolved$29421¢0.0¢-$294
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?PoliticsYesResolved$9616¢0.0¢-$96
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$15613¢0.0¢-$156
Exact Score: Scotland 2 - 0 Morocco?World CupYesResolved$552.2¢0.0¢-$55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?La LigaYesResolved$10025¢0.0¢-$100
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-09?La LigaYesResolved$124.3¢0.0¢-$12
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?World CupYesResolved$19311¢0.0¢-$193
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 2 FC Barcelona?La LigaYesResolved$626.0¢0.0¢-$62
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1540.8¢0.0¢-$154
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$6310¢0.0¢-$63
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$424.3¢0.0¢-$42
Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 1 Panama?World CupYesResolved$9616¢0.0¢-$96
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersNBATrail BlazersResolved$13924¢0.0¢-$139
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?World CupYesResolved$1398.2¢0.0¢-$139
Will CF Talavera vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$326.2¢0.0¢-$32
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$1472.1¢0.0¢-$147
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$40020¢0.0¢-$400
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?World CupYesResolved$912.3¢0.0¢-$91
Rockets vs. BullsNBARocketsResolved$12832¢0.0¢-$128
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$19833¢0.0¢-$198
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?Champions LeagueYesResolved$29431¢0.0¢-$294
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$63033¢0.0¢-$630
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$3311¢0.0¢-$33
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Madrid CF?La LigaYesResolved$262.2¢0.0¢-$26
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria?World CupYesResolved$713¢0.0¢-$7
Euro Basket: Greece vs IsraelBasketball (other)IsraelResolved$10121¢0.0¢-$101
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 Senegal?World CupYesResolved$934.9¢0.0¢-$93
Will Liverpool vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?Champions LeagueYesResolved$155.0¢0.0¢-$15
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)Champions LeagueFC Bayern MünchenResolved$15414¢0.0¢-$154
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$20013¢0.0¢-$200
Wizards vs. JazzNBAJazzResolved$792.7¢0.0¢-$79
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30010.0¢0.0¢-$300
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-13?La LigaYesResolved$5213¢0.0¢-$52
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1614.6¢0.0¢-$161
US strikes Yemen before August?PoliticsYesResolved$35014¢0.0¢-$350
Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 3 Morocco?World CupYesResolved$845.9¢0.0¢-$84
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$96113¢0.0¢-$961
Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 2 Austria?World CupYesResolved$311.1¢0.0¢-$31
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$603.0¢0.0¢-$60
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 Senegal?World CupYesResolved$438.4¢0.0¢-$43
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?PoliticsYesResolved$8617¢0.0¢-$86
Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy EditionPoliticsNoResolved$252.2¢0.0¢-$25
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$312.5¢0.0¢-$31
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$5312¢0.0¢-$53
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?World CupYesResolved$804.0¢0.0¢-$80
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$7317¢0.0¢-$73
Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?World CupYesResolved$639.0¢0.0¢-$63
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador?World CupYesResolved$1608.0¢0.0¢-$160
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$173.5¢0.0¢-$17
Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$211.0¢0.0¢-$21
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?PoliticsYesResolved$11216¢0.0¢-$112
Exact Score: Any Other Score?World CupYesResolved$2106.0¢0.0¢-$210
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?PoliticsYesResolved$32032¢0.0¢-$320
Will Israel strike Syria on July 23?PoliticsYesResolved$674.3¢0.0¢-$67
Trail Blazers vs. SpursNBATrail BlazersResolved$4309.6¢0.0¢-$430
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 DR Congo?World CupYesResolved$1045.8¢0.0¢-$104
Bucks vs. Trail BlazersNBABucksResolved$804.0¢0.0¢-$80
Portugal leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$889.8¢0.0¢-$88
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?PoliticsYesResolved$3038¢0.0¢-$30
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$19513¢0.0¢-$195
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$25423¢0.0¢-$254
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20417¢0.0¢-$204
Spread: Spain (-3.5)World CupSpainResolved$28836¢0.0¢-$288
Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$170.5¢0.0¢-$17
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$8820¢0.0¢-$88
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?World CupYesResolved$1608.0¢0.0¢-$160
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Ecuador?World CupYesResolved$211.4¢0.0¢-$21
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?World CupYesResolved$1237.0¢0.0¢-$123
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?World CupYesResolved$10010¢0.0¢-$100
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 DR Congo?World CupYesResolved$29311¢0.0¢-$293
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?World CupYesResolved$3238.2¢0.0¢-$323
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$36519¢0.0¢-$365
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?World CupYesResolved$581.1¢0.0¢-$58
Pistons vs. MagicNBAPistonsResolved$786.0¢0.0¢-$78
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?World CupYesResolved$1406.7¢0.0¢-$140
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$2337.0¢0.0¢-$233
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$882.2¢0.0¢-$88
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?World CupYesResolved$11315¢0.0¢-$113
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAConor McGregorResolved$35035¢0.0¢-$350
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Champions LeagueYesResolved$553.5¢0.0¢-$55
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$5207.1¢0.0¢-$520
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1114¢0.0¢-$11
Argentina leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$1057.0¢0.0¢-$105
Will Elche CF win on 2025-08-23?La LigaYesResolved$97.0¢0.0¢-$9

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$16K
NBA+$5.5K
Champions League-$3.7K
World Cup+$3.4K
Soccer (other)-$930
Basketball (other)-$785
Culture-$697
Crypto-$560
Tennis-$556
La Liga+$401
UFC / MMA-$350
Boxing+$259
Biggest hit
+$4.0K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$760
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?$92h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?$757h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$7518h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$40218h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$218h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$118h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$118h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$19421h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$3062d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$32d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$392d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$12d ago