Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 25¢ | 13¢ | -$15 |
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | No | $30 | 60¢ | 21¢ | -$20 |
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 43¢ | 7.0¢ | -$34 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie A | YesResolved | $2 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie A | NoResolved | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie A | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $50 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |