alwaysbear

Predicting since Jan 2026266 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $972 riding on China x Philippines military clash before 2027?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$20	46¢	7.5¢	-$17
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Politics	YesResolved	$170	69¢	0.0¢	-$170
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 21?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Politics	NoResolved	$10	70¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?Mentions	YesResolved	$5	52¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions	YesResolved	$10	63¢	0.0¢	-$10
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$90	72¢	0.0¢	-$90
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics	NoResolved	$972	83¢	0.0¢	-$972
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$10	23¢	0.0¢	-$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$8	84¢	0.0¢	-$8
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Crypto	NoResolved	$100	71¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$100	86¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 21?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	50¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics	NoResolved	$100	37¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$120	77¢	0.0¢	-$120

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$837

Crypto+$68

Economy+$43

Mentions+$8

Tech-$3

Biggest hit

+$86

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Toughest beat

-$99

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Sold No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$111mo ago
Sold No · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$131mo ago
Sold No · Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$151mo ago
Sold Yes · Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$231mo ago
Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$591mo ago
Sold No · US recession by end of 2026?$651mo ago
Sold No · Xi Jinping out before 2027?$121mo ago
Sold No · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$241mo ago
Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$01mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$211mo ago
Cashed out No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$2571mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$221mo ago